scholarly journals Differential Mortality by Income and Social Security Progressivity

Author(s):  
Gopi Shah Goda ◽  
John B. Shoven ◽  
Sita Nataraj Slavov
2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 395-418 ◽  
Author(s):  
GILLES LE GARREC ◽  
STÉPHANE LHUISSIER

AbstractTo lower the forecasted increase in the social security burden linked to population aging, delaying the legal age of retirement has been privileged throughout industrialized countries. Compared with a uniform delay, some argue that those who have entered precociously the labor market should be allowed to retire earlier. They assert that such a ‘long career’ exception is all the more justified that those unskilled workers live also less long due to heavier and potentially health-damaging jobs. In this paper, we then study macroeconomic and distributional consequences of global gain in life expectancy, with or without the postponement of the legal age of retirement and with or without a ‘long career’ exception. By considering a framework where individuals decide to acquire skills depending on economic incentives and differential mortality, we focus particularly on spillover effects possibly generated by education. We show in particular that introducing a ‘long career’ exception cannot be to the advantage of future unskilled workers unless education yields no spillover effects.


Author(s):  
Antoine Bommier ◽  
Marie‐Louise Leroux ◽  
Jean‐Marie Lozachmeur

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Li Tan

[ACCESS RESTRICTED TO THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI AT AUTHOR'S REQUEST.] This dissertation consists of two chapters on labor economics. In the first chapter, we study redistributions via the United States Social Security retirement system for cohorts of men born during the second half of the 20th century. Our focus is on redistributions across race and education groups. The cohorts we study are younger than cohorts studied in previous, similar research, and thus more exposed to recent increases in earnings inequality. All else equal, this should increase the degree of progressivity of Social Security redistributions due to the structure of the benefit formula, but we find that Social Security redistributions exhibit little progressivity for individuals born as late as 1980. Differential mortality rates across race and education groups are the primary explanation. While black-white mortality gaps have narrowed some in recent years, they remain large and dull progressivity. Mortality gaps by education level are also large and unlike the race gaps are widening, which puts additional regressive pressure on Social Security redistributions. In the second chapter, I investigate the technique of imputing top-coded income data in longitudinal surveys. The incomes of top earners are typically top-coded in survey data to protect individuals' identities. Common imputation methods used to recover top-coded income values are limited in several ways when applied to longitudinal data. I show that the accuracy of imputed income values for top earners in longitudinal surveys can be improved significantly by incorporating information from multiple time periods into the imputation process in a simple way. Moreover, I introduce an innovative, nonparametric empirical Bayes imputation method that further improves imputation quality. With a sample of individuals for whom incomes are pseudo top-coded (i.e., in which the exact income figures are accessible but temporarily expunged), I show that the Bayesian imputation method reduces the root mean squared error of imputed income values by 19-46% relative to standard approaches in the literature. After documenting this improvement in performance, I illustrate the benefits of the Bayesian method for investigating multi-year income inequality.


2019 ◽  
Vol 62 ◽  
pp. 103077
Author(s):  
Monisankar Bishnu ◽  
Nick L. Guo ◽  
Cagri S. Kumru

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