scholarly journals UNCERTAINTY OF BATHYMETRY MODELS AND EFFECT ON TSUNAMI MODELS

Author(s):  
Ignacio Sepulveda ◽  
Jennifer S. Haase ◽  
Philip L.-F. Liu ◽  
Mircea Grigoriu ◽  
Brook Tozer ◽  
...  

We describe the uncertainties of altimetry-predicted bathymetry models and then quantify the impact of this uncertainty in tsunami hazard assessments. The study consists of three stages. First, we study the statistics of errors of altimetry-predicted bathymetry models. Second, we employ these statistics to propose a random field model for errors anywhere. Third, we use bathymetry samples to conduct a Monte Carlo simulation and describe the tsunami response uncertainty. We found that bathymetry uncertainties have a greater impact in shallow areas. We also noted that tsunami leading waves are less affected by uncertainties.Recorded Presentation from the vICCE (YouTube Link): https://youtu.be/zzL_XWWAQ7o

Author(s):  
Ignacio Sepulveda ◽  
Philip L-F Liu ◽  
Mircea Grigoriu ◽  
Matthew Pritchard

This study proposes a methodology to conduct probabilistic tsunami hazard assessments (PTHA) with consideration of uncertain earthquake characteristics. The methodology adopts a stochastic framework to model the earthquake slip and location as a random field and a random vector, respectively. The stochastic framework consists of three stages: (1) the definition of consistent probability properties for uncertain earthquake characteristics, (2) the generation of samples and (3) the uncertainty propagation. To complete each stage we follow the method recently proposed in Sepúlveda et al. (2017). We illustrate our PTHA methodology by assessing the tsunami hazard in Kao Hsiung and Hong Kong, with consideration of earthquakes in the Manila Trench.


1993 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. R25-R28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Madan Rao ◽  
Amitabha Chakrabarti

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 603-613 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Freno ◽  
E. Trentin ◽  
M. Gori

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