Evaluating the accuracy of three international guidelines in identifying the risk of malignancy in pancreatic cysts : a retrospective analysis of a surgical treated population

Background and study aims : The international consensus Fukuoka guideline (Fukuoka ICG), The European evidence-based guideline on pancreatic cystic neoplasms (European EBG) and the American Gastroenterological Association institute guideline on the diagnosis and management of asymptomatic neoplastic pancreatic cysts (AGA IG) are 3 frequently cited guidelines for the risk stratification of neoplastic pancreatic cysts. The aim of this study was to assess the accuracy of detecting malignant cysts by strictly applying these guidelines retrospectively to a cohort of surgically resected pancreatic cysts. Patient and methods : 72 resected cysts were included in the analysis. Invasive carcinoma, high grade dysplasia and neuroendocrine tumour were considered as “malignant cysts” for the purpose of the study. Results : 32% of the resected cysts were malignant. The analysis showed that the Fukuoka ICG, European EBG and AGA IG had a sensitivity of 66,8%, 95,5%, 80%; a specificity of 26,8%, 11,3%, 43,8%; a positive predictive value of 31,8%, 35%, 47,1% and a negative predicted value of 61,1%, 83,3%, 77,8% respectively. The missed malignancy rate was respectively 11,3%, 1,5%, 7,7% and surgical overtreatment was respectively 48,4%, 59,1%, 34,6%. Conclusion : In this retrospective analysis, the European EBG had the lowest rate of missed malignancy at the expense of a high number of “unnecessary” resections. The Fukuoka ICG had the highest number of missed malignancy. The AGA IG showed the lowest rate of unnecessary surgery at the cost of a high number of missed malignancy. There is need to develop better biomarkers to predict the risk of malignancy.

Long-term outcome after EUS-guided radiofrequency ablation: Prospective results in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors and pancreatic cystic neoplasms

Background and study aims Endoscopic ultrasound-guided radiofrequency ablation (EUS-RFA) for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) and intraductal pancreatic mucinous neoplasia (IPMN) with worrisome features or high-risk stigmata (WF/HRS) has been evaluated in few series with short-term outcomes. This studyʼs primary endpoint was to assess the long-term efficacy of EUS-RFA in patients with NETs or pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) over at least 3 years. Patients and methods Twelve patients had 14 NETs with a mean 13.4-mm size (10–20) and 17 patients had a cystic tumor (16 IPMN, 1 MCA) with a 29.1-mm mean size (9–60 were included. They were treated with EUS-guided RFA, evaluated prospectively at 1 year, and followed annually for at least 3 years. Results The mean duration of follow-up was 42.9 months (36–53). Four patients died during follow-up (17–42 months) from unrelated diseases.At 1-year follow-up, and 85.7 % complete disappearance was seen in 12 patients with 14 NETs. At the end of follow-up (45.6 months), complete disappearance of tumors was seen in 85.7 % of cases. One case of late liver metastasis occurred in a patient with initial failure of EUS-RFA. At 1-year follow-up, a significant response was seen in 70.5 % of 15 patients with PCNs. At the end of the follow-up, there was a significant response in 66.6 % with no mural nodules. Two cases of distant pancreatic adenocarcinoma unrelated to IPMN occurred. Conclusions EUS-RFA results for pancreatic NETs or PCNs appear to be stable during 42 months of follow-up.