A Review on the Complementarity Modelling in Competitive Electricity Markets

In recent years, the ever-increasing research interest in various aspects of the electricity pool-based markets has generated a plethora of complementarity-based approaches to determine participating agents’ optimal offering/bidding strategies and model players’ interactions. In particular, the integration of multiple and diversified market agents, such as conventional generation companies, renewable energy sources, electricity storage facilities and agents with a mixed generation portfolio has instigated significant competition, as each player attempts to establish their market dominance and realize substantial financial benefits. The employment of complementarity modelling approaches can also prove beneficial for the optimal coordination of the electricity and natural gas market coupling. Linear and nonlinear programming as well as complementarity modelling, mainly in the form of mathematical programs with equilibrium constraints (MPECs), equilibrium programs with equilibrium constraints (EPECs) and conjectural variations models (CV) have been widely employed to provide effective market clearing mechanisms, enhance agents’ decision-making process and allow them to exert market power, under perfect and imperfect competition and various market settlements. This work first introduces the theoretical concepts that regulate the majority of contemporary competitive electricity markets. It then presents a comprehensive review of recent advances related to complementarity-based modelling methodologies and their implementation in current competitive electricity pool-based markets applications.

Competition in Power Generation: Ex-ante Analysis of Indonesia’s Electricity Market

This research optimises the mix and structure of Generation Companies (GenCos) in the Sumatra power system, Indonesia. Market power, indicating the ability to raise prices profitably above the competitive level, tends to be a significant problem in the aftermath of electricity market restructuring. In the process of regulatory reform and the development of competitive electricity markets, it is desirable and practical to establish an efficient number of competitor GenCos. Simulations of a power system account for multi-plant mergers of GenCos subject to a regulatory measure of the Residual Supply Index and the influence of direct current load flow and the topology of the system. This study simulates the Sumatra power system in order to determine the following: optimal market structure, efficient GenCo generation mix, and the optimal number of competitive GenCos. Further, this study seeks to empirically optimise the electricity generation mix and electricity market structure of the Sumatra power system using DC load flow optimisation, market power index, and multi-plant monopoly analysis. The simulations include generation and transmission constraints to represent network constraints. This research is the first to analyse the Sumatra power system using imperfect (Cournot) competition modelling. Furthermore, this study is the first kind to optimise the mix and structure of the Sumatra generation power market. The guidelines and methodology in this research can be implemented in other countries characterised by a monopoly electricity utility company.

AiD-EM: Adaptive Decision Support for Electricity Markets Negotiations

This paper presents the Adaptive Decision Support for Electricity Markets Negotiations (AiD-EM) system. AiD-EM is a multi-agent system that provides decision support to market players by incorporating multiple sub-(agent-based) systems, directed to the decision support of specific problems. These sub-systems make use of different artificial intelligence methodologies, such as machine learning and evolutionary computing, to enable players adaptation in the planning phase and in actual negotiations in auction-based markets and bilateral negotiations. AiD-EM demonstration is enabled by its connection to MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets).