Multi-scale Temporal Memory for Clinical Event Time-Series Prediction

Author(s):  
Jeong Min Lee ◽  
Milos Hauskrecht
2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (07n08) ◽  
pp. 2040010
Author(s):  
Shao-Pei Ji ◽  
Yu-Long Meng ◽  
Liang Yan ◽  
Gui-Shan Dong ◽  
Dong Liu

Time series data from real problems have nonlinear, non-smooth, and multi-scale composite characteristics. This paper first proposes a gated recurrent unit-correction (GRU-corr) network model, which adds a correction layer to the GRU neural network. Then, a adaptive staged variation PSO (ASPSO) is proposed. Finally, to overcome the drawbacks of the imprecise selection of the GRU-corr network parameters and obtain the high-precision global optimization of network parameters, weight parameters and the hidden nodes number of GRU-corr is optimized by ASPSO, and a time series prediction model (ASPSO-GRU-corr) is proposed based on the GRU-corr optimized by ASPSO. In the experiment, a comparative analysis of the optimization performance of ASPSO on a benchmark function was performed to verify its validity, and then the ASPSO-GRU-corr model is used to predict the ship motion cross-sway angle data. The results show that, ASPSO has better optimization performance and convergence speed compared with other algorithms, while the ASPSO-GRU-corr has higher generalization performance and lower architecture complexity. The ASPSO-GRU-corr can reveal the intrinsic multi-scale composite features of the time series, which is a reliable nonlinear and non-steady time series prediction method.


Author(s):  
Abiodun Ayodeji ◽  
Zhiyu Wang ◽  
Wenhai Wang ◽  
Weizhong Qin ◽  
Chunhua Yang ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 289-309
Author(s):  
Aishvarya Kumar Jain ◽  
Christian Grumber ◽  
Patrick Gelhausen ◽  
Ivo Häring ◽  
Alexander Stolz

Author(s):  
Azim Ahmadzadeh ◽  
Berkay Aydin ◽  
Dustin J. Kempton ◽  
Maxwell Hostetter ◽  
Rafal A. Angryk ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 3328
Author(s):  
Jian Wang ◽  
Weiping Jiang ◽  
Zhao Li ◽  
Yang Lu

GNSS time-series prediction plays an important role in the monitoring of crustal plate movement, and dam or bridge deformation, and the maintenance of global or regional coordinate frames. Deep learning is a state-of-the-art approach for extracting high-level abstract features from big data without any prior knowledge. Moreover, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks are a form of recurrent neural networks that have significant potential for processing time series. In this study, a novel prediction framework was proposed by combining a multi-scale sliding window (MSSW) with LSTM. Specifically, MSSW was applied for data preprocessing to effectively extract the feature relationship at different scales and simultaneously mine the deep characteristics of the dataset. Then, multiple LSTM neural networks were used to predict and obtain the final result by weighting. To verify the performance of MSSW-LSTM, 1000 daily solutions of the XJSS station in the Up component were selected for prediction experiments. Compared with the traditional LSTM method, our results of three groups of controlled experiments showed that the RMSE value was reduced by 2.1%, 23.7%, and 20.1%, and MAE was decreased by 1.6%, 21.1%, and 22.2%, respectively. Our results showed that the MSSW-LSTM algorithm can achieve higher prediction accuracy and smaller error, and can be applied to GNSS time-series prediction.


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