State Prediction of Chaotic Time-Series Systems Using Autoregressive Integrated with Adaptive Network-Fuzzy

Author(s):  
Farzin Piltan ◽  
Jong-Myon Kim
2010 ◽  
Vol 73 (10-12) ◽  
pp. 1686-1693 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin-Tsong Jeng ◽  
Chen-Chia Chuang ◽  
Chin-Wang Tao

2012 ◽  
Vol 197 ◽  
pp. 271-277
Author(s):  
Zhu Ping Gong

Small data set approach is used for the estimation of Largest Lyapunov Exponent (LLE). Primarily, the mean period drawback of Small data set was corrected. On this base, the LLEs of daily qualified rate time series of HZ, an electronic manufacturing enterprise, were estimated and all positive LLEs were taken which indicate that this time series is a chaotic time series and the corresponding produce process is a chaotic process. The variance of the LLEs revealed the struggle between the divergence nature of quality system and quality control effort. LLEs showed sharp increase in getting worse quality level coincide with the company shutdown. HZ’s daily qualified rate, a chaotic time series, shows us the predictable nature of quality system in a short-run.


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