Importance Sampling in Life-Cycle Seismic Fragility and Risk Assessment of Aging Bridge Networks

2021 ◽  
pp. 1035-1044
Author(s):  
Luca Capacci ◽  
Fabio Biondini
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Life Cycle ◽  
Importance Sampling ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Bridge Networks

Life-cycle cost-based risk assessment of aging bridge networks

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Matteo Maria Messore ◽  
Luca Capacci ◽  
Fabio Biondini
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Life Cycle ◽  
Life Cycle Cost ◽  
Bridge Networks

The use of the risk assessment in the life cycle assessment framework

2015 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 389-406 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Francesca Milazzo ◽  
Francesco Spina
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Life Cycle Assessment ◽  
Life Cycle ◽  
Human Health ◽  
Biodiesel Production ◽  
Health Impacts ◽  
Complete Analysis ◽  
Transfer Factors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Human Health Impacts

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to quantify the human health impacts of soy-biodiesel production with the aim to discuss about its environmental sustainability. Design/methodology/approach – The integrated use of two current approaches, risk assessment (RA) and life cycle assessment (LCA), has allowed improvement of the potentialities of both in obtaining a more complete analysis. The implementation of a life cycle indicator for the assessment of the impacts on the human health, integrating the features of both approaches, is the main focus of this paper. Findings – It has been found that, although the biodiesel is a green fuel, it has some criticalities in its life cycle, which cannot be disregarded. In fact, even if biodiesel is essentially a clean fuel there are some phases, prior to the industrial phase, that can cause negative effects on human health and ecosystems. Practical implications – Results suggest some measures which can be adopted to substantially reduce human health impacts. Further alternative could be analysed in future to gain more insight about the use of biodiesel fuels. Originality/value – The estimation of the impacts of a process producing biodiesel has been made by using a novel approach. The novelty is associated with the calculation of the impacts on human health by using the transfer factors applied in RA. The use of such factors, properly modified in order to estimate the impacts on a wider scale than a site-dimension, allows defining a holistic approach, as LCA and RA are used as complete units but at the same time can be related to each other.

Risk assessment of additional financial costs on the example of implementation of projects of the rocket space industry

2021 ◽  
pp. 77-84
Author(s):  
Е.В. Докукина ◽  
Е.В. Парфенова
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Life Cycle ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Economic Indicators ◽  
Early Stages ◽  
Space Industry ◽  
Financial Costs ◽  
Additional Costs ◽  
Technical And Economic Indicators

В работе исследуется один из возможных метод оценки риска дополнительных финансовых незапланированных затрат в рамках реализации проектов ракетно-космической отрасли, поскольку по различным причинам они не учитывались при определении технико-экономических показателей реализуемого перспективного проекта. Следовательно, предлагаемый метод позволяет на ранних стадиях проведения исследований оценить дополнительные затраты и учесть их влияние на конечные технико-экономические показатели перспективного проекта. Метод строится на основе статистического анализа затрат по этапам жизненного цикла и по проекту в целом. По итогам исследования сделан вывод о том, что риск дополнительных финансовых затрат может снизить эффективность проекта в полтора - три раза. The paper explores one of the possible methods for assessing the risk of additional unplanned costs for the implementation of a promising project. Under additional means costs that for some reason were not planned when determining the technical and economic indicators of the prospective project being implemented. The proposed method allows for the early stages of research to assess the additional costs and take into account their impact on the final technical and economic indicators of a promising project. The method is based on a statistical analysis of costs for the stages of the life cycle and for the project as a whole. The study concluded that the risk of additional costs may reduce the effectiveness of the project in one and a half to three times.

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