Forecasting of Time Series with Fuzzy Logic

2013 ◽  
pp. 155-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petr Dostál
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Logic

Penerapan Logika Samar dalam Peramalan Data Runtun Waktu

2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-15
Author(s):  
Seng Hansun
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Fuzzy Sets ◽  
Fuzzy System ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Fuzzy Logic System ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Logic System

Recently, there are so many soft computing methods been used in time series analysis. One of these methods is fuzzy logic system. In this paper, we will try to implement fuzzy logic system to predict a non-stationary time series data. The data we use here is Mackey-Glass chaotic time series. We also use MATLAB software to predict the time series data, which have been divided into four groups of input-output pairs. These groups then will be used as the input variables of the fuzzy logic system. There are two scenarios been used in this paper, first is by using seven fuzzy sets, and second is by using fifteen fuzzy sets. The result shows that the fuzzy system with fifteen fuzzy sets give a better forecasting result than the fuzzy system with seven fuzzy sets. Index Terms—forecasting, fuzzy logic, Mackey-Glass chaotic, MATLAB, time series analysis

Recognition of anomalies from time series by fuzzy logic methods

2008 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. D. Gvishiani ◽  
S. M. Agayan ◽  
Sh. R. Bogoutdinov ◽  
E. M. Graeva ◽  
J. Zlotnicki ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Logic

A contribution to the identification in fuzzy-logic control

1990 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 951-963 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josef Vrba ◽  
Ywetta Purová
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Fuzzy Logic Control ◽  
Fuzzy Logic Controller ◽  
Automatic Generation ◽  
Linguistic Variable ◽  
Fuzzy Subset ◽  
Input Output ◽  
Logic Control ◽  
Correlation Tables

A linguistic identification of a system controlled by a fuzzy-logic controller is presented. The information about the behaviour of the system, concentrated in time-series, is analyzed from the point of its description by linguistic variable and fuzzy subset as its quantifier. The partial input/output relation and its strength is expressed by a sort of correlation tables and coefficients. The principles of automatic generation of model statements are presented as well.

The generation of qualitative descriptions of multivariate time series using fuzzy logic

2014 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 546-555 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Moreno-Garcia ◽  
Luis Rodriguez-Benitez ◽  
Juan Giralt ◽  
Ester del Castillo
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Multivariate Time Series

scholarly journals Multiple Ensemble Neural Network Models with Fuzzy Response Aggregation for Predicting COVID-19 Time Series: The Case of Mexico

Healthcare ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Melin ◽  
Julio Cesar Monica ◽  
Daniela Sanchez ◽  
Oscar Castillo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Ensemble Neural Networks ◽  
Ensemble Neural Network

In this paper, a multiple ensemble neural network model with fuzzy response aggregation for the COVID-19 time series is presented. Ensemble neural networks are composed of a set of modules, which are used to produce several predictions under different conditions. The modules are simple neural networks. Fuzzy logic is then used to aggregate the responses of several predictor modules, in this way, improving the final prediction by combining the outputs of the modules in an intelligent way. Fuzzy logic handles the uncertainty in the process of making a final decision about the prediction. The complete model was tested for the case of predicting the COVID-19 time series in Mexico, at the level of the states and the whole country. The simulation results of the multiple ensemble neural network models with fuzzy response integration show very good predicted values in the validation data set. In fact, the prediction errors of the multiple ensemble neural networks are significantly lower than using traditional monolithic neural networks, in this way showing the advantages of the proposed approach.

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