Fuzzy Portfolio Selection Models for Dealing with Investor’s Preferences

Author(s):  
Clara Calvo ◽  
Carlos Ivorra ◽  
Vicente Liern
Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 3043
Author(s):  
Barbara Glensk ◽  
Reinhard Madlener

Fuzzy theory is proposed as an alternative to the probabilistic approach for assessing portfolios of power plants, in order to capture the complex reality of decision-making processes. This paper presents different fuzzy portfolio selection models, where the rate of returns as well as the investor’s aspiration levels of portfolio return and risk are regarded as fuzzy variables. Furthermore, portfolio risk is defined as a downside risk, which is why a semi-mean-absolute deviation portfolio selection model is introduced. Finally, as an illustration, the models presented are applied to a selection of power generation mixes. The efficient portfolio results show that the fuzzy portfolio selection models with different definitions of membership functions as well as the semi-mean-absolute deviation model perform better than the standard mean-variance approach. Moreover, introducing membership functions for the description of investors’ aspiration levels for the expected return and risk shows how the knowledge of experts, and investors’ subjective opinions, can be better integrated in the decision-making process than with probabilistic approaches.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Deng ◽  
Weimin Li

Purpose This paper aims to propose two portfolio selection models with hesitant value-at-risk (HVaR) – HVaR fuzzy portfolio selection model (HVaR-FPSM) and HVaR-score fuzzy portfolio selection model (HVaR-S-FPSM) – to help investors solve the problem that how bad a portfolio can be under probabilistic hesitant fuzzy environment. Design/methodology/approach It is strictly proved that the higher the probability threshold, the higher the HVaR in HVaR-S-FPSM. Numerical examples and a case study are used to illustrate the steps of building the proposed models and the importance of the HVaR and score constraint. In case study, the authors conduct a sensitivity analysis and compare the proposed models with decision-making models and hesitant fuzzy portfolio models. Findings The score constraint can make sure that the portfolio selected is profitable, but will not cause the HVaR to decrease dramatically. The investment proportions of stocks are mainly affected by their HVaRs, which is consistent with the fact that the stock having good performance is usually desirable in portfolio selection. The HVaR-S-FPSM can find portfolios with higher HVaR than each single stock and has little sacrifice of extreme returns. Originality/value This paper fulfills a need to construct portfolio selection models with HVaR under probabilistic hesitant fuzzy environment. As a downside risk, the HVaR is more consistent with investors’ intuitions about risks. Moreover, the score constraint makes sure that undesirable portfolios will not be selected.


2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 758-769 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Wang ◽  
Shuming Wang ◽  
Junzo Watada

2018 ◽  
Vol 08 (03) ◽  
pp. 358-366
Author(s):  
Ken Hung ◽  
C. W. Yang ◽  
Yifan Zhao ◽  
Kuo-Hao Lee

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