A Long-Term Highway Traffic Flow Prediction Method for Holiday

2018 ◽  
pp. 153-159
Author(s):  
Guoming Lu ◽  
Jiaxin Li ◽  
Jian Chen ◽  
Aiguo Chen ◽  
Jianbin Gu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Highway Traffic ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

scholarly journals Highway Traffic Flow Nonlinear Character Analysis and Prediction

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng Hui ◽  
Lin Bai ◽  
YanBo Li ◽  
QiSheng Wu
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Order Reduction ◽  
Volterra Model ◽  
Highway Traffic ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Nonlinear Character ◽  
Short Time ◽  
Highway Management

In order to meet the highway guidance demand, this work studies the short-term traffic flow prediction method of highway. The Yu-Wu highway which is the main road in Chongqing, China, traffic flow time series is taken as the study object. It uses phase space reconstruction theory and Lyapunov exponent to analyze the nonlinear character of traffic flow. A new Volterra prediction method based on model order reduction via quadratic-linear systems (QLMOR) is applied to predict the traffic flow. Compared with Taylor-expansion-based methods, these QLMOR-reduced Volterra models retain more information of the system and more accuracy. The simulation results using this new Volterra model to predict short time traffic flow reveal that the accuracy of chaotic traffic flow prediction is enough for highway guidance and could be a new reference for intelligent highway management.

A clustering based traffic flow prediction method with dynamic spatiotemporal correlation analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Unsok Ryu ◽  
Jian Wang ◽  
Unjin Pak ◽  
Sonil Kwak ◽  
Kwangchol Ri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Correlation Analysis ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Spatiotemporal Correlation ◽  
Flow Prediction

scholarly journals Tensor Decomposition for Spatial—Temporal Traffic Flow Prediction with Sparse Data

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (21) ◽  
pp. 6046
Author(s):  
Funing Yang ◽  
Guoliang Liu ◽  
Liping Huang ◽  
Cheng Siong Chin
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Sparse Data ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Traffic Prediction ◽  
Traffic Surveillance ◽  
Data Sparsity ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Sparsity Problem

Urban transport traffic surveillance is of great importance for public traffic control and personal travel path planning. Effective and efficient traffic flow prediction is helpful to optimize these real applications. The main challenge of traffic flow prediction is the data sparsity problem, meaning that traffic flow on some roads or of certain periods cannot be monitored. This paper presents a transport traffic prediction method that leverages the spatial and temporal correlation of transportation traffic to tackle this problem. We first propose to model the traffic flow using a fourth-order tensor, which incorporates the location, the time of day, the day of the week, and the week of the month. Based on the constructed traffic flow tensor, we either propose a model to estimate the correlation in each dimension of the tensor. Furthermore, we utilize the gradient descent strategy to design a traffic flow prediction algorithm that is capable of tackling the data sparsity problem from the spatial and temporal perspectives of the traffic pattern. To validate the proposed traffic prediction method, case studies using real-work datasets are constructed, and the results demonstrate that the prediction accuracy of our proposed method outperforms the baselines. The accuracy decreases the least with the percentage of missing data increasing, including the situation of data being missing on neighboring roads in one or continuous multi-days. This certifies that the proposed prediction method can be utilized for sparse data-based transportation traffic surveillance.

Research on the Application of Time and Space Prediction Method in Traffic Flow Prediction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunyan Diao ◽  
Dafang Zhang ◽  
Juan Chen ◽  
Yuting Tang ◽  
Lijun Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Time And Space ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

scholarly journals An AutoEncoder and LSTM-Based Traffic Flow Prediction Method

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (13) ◽  
pp. 2946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wangyang Wei ◽  
Honghai Wu ◽  
Huadong Ma
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Smart Cities ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Smart cities can effectively improve the quality of urban life. Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is an important part of smart cities. The accurate and real-time prediction of traffic flow plays an important role in ITSs. To improve the prediction accuracy, we propose a novel traffic flow prediction method, called AutoEncoder Long Short-Term Memory (AE-LSTM) prediction method. In our method, the AutoEncoder is used to obtain the internal relationship of traffic flow by extracting the characteristics of upstream and downstream traffic flow data. Moreover, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network utilizes the acquired characteristic data and the historical data to predict complex linear traffic flow data. The experimental results show that the AE-LSTM method had higher prediction accuracy. Specifically, the Mean Relative Error (MRE) of the AE-LSTM was reduced by 0.01 compared with the previous prediction methods. In addition, AE-LSTM method also had good stability. For different stations and different dates, the prediction error and fluctuation of the AE-LSTM method was small. Furthermore, the average MRE of AE-LSTM prediction results was 0.06 for six different days.

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