Forecast model for great earthquakes at the Nankai Trough subduction zone

1988 ◽  
Vol 126 (2-4) ◽  
pp. 619-641 ◽  
Author(s):  
William D. Stuart
2013 ◽  
Vol 589 ◽  
pp. 90-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yojiro Yamamoto ◽  
Koichiro Obana ◽  
Tsutomu Takahashi ◽  
Ayako Nakanishi ◽  
Shuichi Kodaira ◽  
...  

Science ◽  
1990 ◽  
Vol 250 (4985) ◽  
pp. 1248-1251 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. K.-F. Ng ◽  
P. H. Leblond ◽  
T. S. Murty

Science ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 370 (6521) ◽  
pp. 1230-1234
Author(s):  
Verena B. Heuer ◽  
Fumio Inagaki ◽  
Yuki Morono ◽  
Yusuke Kubo ◽  
Arthur J. Spivack ◽  
...  

Microorganisms in marine subsurface sediments substantially contribute to global biomass. Sediments warmer than 40°C account for roughly half the marine sediment volume, but the processes mediated by microbial populations in these hard-to-access environments are poorly understood. We investigated microbial life in up to 1.2-kilometer-deep and up to 120°C hot sediments in the Nankai Trough subduction zone. Above 45°C, concentrations of vegetative cells drop two orders of magnitude and endospores become more than 6000 times more abundant than vegetative cells. Methane is biologically produced and oxidized until sediments reach 80° to 85°C. In 100° to 120°C sediments, isotopic evidence and increased cell concentrations demonstrate the activity of acetate-degrading hyperthermophiles. Above 45°C, populated zones alternate with zones up to 192 meters thick where microbes were undetectable.


2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 2180-2194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Pape ◽  
Patrizia Geprägs ◽  
Sebastian Hammerschmidt ◽  
Paul Wintersteller ◽  
Jiangong Wei ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 181-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.-A. GUTSCHER

Great earthquakes and tsunami can have a tremendous societal impact. The Lisbon earthquake and tsunami of 1755 caused tens of thousands of deaths in Portugal, Spain and NW Morocco. Felt as far as Hamburg and the Azores islands, its magnitude is estimated to be 8.5–9. However, because of the complex tectonics in Southern Iberia, the fault that produced the earthquake has not yet been clearly identified. Recently acquired data from the Gulf of Cadiz area (tomography, seismic profiles, high-resolution bathymetry, sampled active mud volcanoes) provide strong evidence for an active east dipping subduction zone beneath Gibraltar. Eleven out of 12 of the strongest earthquakes (M>8.5) of the past 100 years occurred along subduction zone megathrusts (including the December 2004 and March 2005 Sumatra earthquakes). Thus, it appears likely that the 1755 earthquake and tsunami were generated in a similar fashion, along the shallow east-dipping subduction fault plane. This implies that the Cadiz subduction zone is locked (like the Cascadia and Nankai/Japan subduction zones), with great earthquakes occurring over long return periods. Indeed, the regional paleoseismic record (contained in deep-water turbidites and shallow lagoon deposits) suggests great earthquakes off South West Iberia every 1500–2000 years. Tsunami deposits indicate an earlier great earthquake struck SW Iberia around 200 BC, as noted by Roman records from Cadiz. A written record of even older events may also exist. According to Plato's dialogues The Critias and The Timaeus, Atlantis was destroyed by ‘strong earthquakes and floods … in a single day and night’ at a date given as 11,600 BP. A 1 m thick turbidite deposit, containing coarse grained sediments from underwater avalanches, has been dated at 12,000 BP and may correspond to the destructive earthquake and tsunami described by Plato. The effects on a paleo-island (Spartel) in the straits of Gibraltar would have been devastating, if inhabited, and may have formed the basis for the Atlantis legend.


2016 ◽  
Vol 173 (10-11) ◽  
pp. 3247-3271 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. A. Papadopoulos ◽  
G. Minadakis

2009 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
George R. Priest ◽  
Chris Goldfinger ◽  
Kelin Wang ◽  
Robert C. Witter ◽  
Yinglong Zhang ◽  
...  

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