Estimating errors in student enrollment forecasting

1979 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 195-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. T. Marshall ◽  
R. M. Oliver
Keyword(s):  
Student Enrollment ◽  
Enrollment Forecasting

scholarly journals Undergraduate International Student Enrollment Forecasting Model: An Application of Time Series Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 242-261
Author(s):  
Yu Chen ◽  
Ran Li ◽  
Linda Serra Hagedorn
Keyword(s):  
International Student ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Student Enrollment ◽  
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average ◽  
Enrollment Patterns ◽  
Undergraduate Enrollment ◽  
Enrollment Forecasting ◽  
Moving Average Model ◽  
Visa Policy ◽  
Input Variables

This study developed statistical models to forecast international undergraduate student enrollment at a Midwest university. The authors constructed a SARIMA (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model with input variables to estimate future enrollment. The SARIMA model reflected enrollment patterns by semester through highlighting seasonality. Further, authors added input variables such as visa policy changes, the rapid increase of Chinese undergraduate enrollment, and tuition rate into the model estimation. The visa policy change and the increase of Chinese undergraduate enrollment were significant predictors of international undergraduate enrollment. The effect of tuition rates was significant but minimal in magnitude. Findings of this study generate significant implications for policy, enrollment management, and student services for international students.

International student enrollment in US institutions drops

2020 ◽  
Vol 98 (45) ◽  
pp. 14-14
Author(s):  
Andrea Widener
Keyword(s):  
International Student ◽  
Student Enrollment

Student Enrollment -- 1948

1948 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 340
Author(s):  
NLNE Department of Studies
Keyword(s):  
Student Enrollment

scholarly journals A matrícula no ensino fundamental em perspectiva: Brasil e unidades da Federação – 2000-2001

2019 ◽  
Vol 80 (196) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Eduardo Moreno Sampaio ◽  
João Vicente Pereira ◽  
Liliane Oliveira Brant ◽  
Vanessa Néspoli
Keyword(s):  
Elementary School ◽  
Public Schools ◽  
United Nations ◽  
Basic Education ◽  
Student Enrollment ◽  
National Program ◽  
School Enrolment ◽  
United Nations Educational ◽  
Cultural Organization ◽  
Brazilian Case

Com o objetivo de subsidiar o Programa Nacional do Livro Didático (PNLD), gerenciado pelo Fundo Nacional de Desenvolvimento da Educação (FNDE), apresenta uma análise do comportamento histórico da matrícula no ensino fundamental regular e calcula estimativas para os anos de 2000 e 2001, na rede pública, por série, para cada uma das 27 unidades da Federação. Foi adotada a metodologia de fluxo escolar, considerando o modelo proposto pela Organização das Nações Unidas para a Educação, Ciência e Cultura (Unesco), com as adaptações pertinentes ao caso brasileiro e a incorporação de formas de correção e ajustes dos dados sugeridos pelo professor Ruben Klein. Palavras-chave: ensino fundamental; matrícula; Programa Nacional do Livro Didático. Abstract With the objective to subsidize the National Program of the Didactic Book (PNLD) managed by the National Fund for the Development of the Education (FNDE), this paper presents an analysis of the historical behaviour towards student enrollment in the regular basic education and it also calculates estimatives for the years 2000 and 2001, in public schools, by levels, for each one of 27 unities of the Federation. The methodology of the schoolar flow was adopted, considering the model proposed by the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (Unesco) with the adaptations pertinent to the Brazilian case and the incorporation of correction forms and data adjustments suggested by professor (doctor) Ruben Klein. Keywords: elementary school, enrolment, National Program of the Didactic Book (PNLD).

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