Confidence intervals, prediction intervals and tolerance intervals for negative binomial distributions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bao-Anh Dang ◽  
K. Krishnamoorthy
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Prediction Intervals ◽  
Tolerance Intervals ◽  
Binomial Distributions

Tolerance Intervals for True Scores

1985 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Jarjoura
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Practical Implication ◽  
Educational Measurement ◽  
True Score ◽  
Tolerance Intervals ◽  
Observed Score ◽  
True Scores

Issues regarding tolerance and confidence intervals are discussed within the context of educational measurement and conceptual distinctions are drawn between these two types of intervals. Points are raised about the advantages of tolerance intervals when the focus is on a particular observed score rather than a particular examinee. Because tolerance intervals depend on strong true score models, a practical implication of the study is that true score tolerance intervals are fairly insensitive to differences in assumptions among the five models studied.

scholarly journals INFLUENCE OF STATISTICAL FLUCTUATIONS ON K/π RATIOS IN RELATIVISTIC HEAVY ION COLLISIONS

2001 ◽  
Vol 16 (07) ◽  
pp. 1227-1235 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. B. YANG ◽  
X. CAI
Keyword(s):  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Heavy Ion ◽  
Relativistic Heavy Ion Collisions ◽  
Relative Variance ◽  
Ion Collisions ◽  
Statistical Fluctuations ◽  
Binomial Distributions ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Multiplicity Distributions ◽  
Statistical Background

The influence of pure statistical fluctuations on K/π ratio is investigated in an event-by-event way. Poisson and the modified negative binomial distributions are used as the multiplicity distributions since they both have statistical background. It is shown that the distributions of the ratio in these cases are Gaussian, and the mean and relative variance are given analytically.

Uncertainty and Inference for Verification Measures

2007 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 637-650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian T. Jolliffe
Keyword(s):  
Hypothesis Testing ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Multiple Testing ◽  
Prediction Intervals ◽  
Hypothesis Tests ◽  
Statistical Inferences ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Main Ideas

Abstract When a forecast is assessed, a single value for a verification measure is often quoted. This is of limited use, as it needs to be complemented by some idea of the uncertainty associated with the value. If this uncertainty can be quantified, it is then possible to make statistical inferences based on the value observed. There are two main types of inference: confidence intervals can be constructed for an underlying “population” value of the measure, or hypotheses can be tested regarding the underlying value. This paper will review the main ideas of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, together with the less well known “prediction intervals,” concentrating on aspects that are often poorly understood. Comparisons will be made between different methods of constructing confidence intervals—exact, asymptotic, bootstrap, and Bayesian—and the difference between prediction intervals and confidence intervals will be explained. For hypothesis testing, multiple testing will be briefly discussed, together with connections between hypothesis testing, prediction intervals, and confidence intervals.

scholarly journals Coverage versus Confidence

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peyton Cook
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Negative Binomial Distribution ◽  
Binomial Distribution ◽  
Coverage Probability ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Asymptotic Confidence Interval ◽  
Population Proportion ◽  
Coverage Probabilities ◽  
The Mean

This article is intended to help students understand the concept of a coverage probability involving confidence intervals. Mathematica is used as a language for describing an algorithm to compute the coverage probability for a simple confidence interval based on the binomial distribution. Then, higher-level functions are used to compute probabilities of expressions in order to obtain coverage probabilities. Several examples are presented: two confidence intervals for a population proportion based on the binomial distribution, an asymptotic confidence interval for the mean of the Poisson distribution, and an asymptotic confidence interval for a population proportion based on the negative binomial distribution.

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