Heavy tailed probability distributions for non-Gaussian simulations with higher-order cumulant parameters predicted from sample data

2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 765-776 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. A. Vargas-Guzmán
Keyword(s):  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Higher Order ◽  
Sample Data ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Non Gaussian

scholarly journals Heavy-tailed random matrices

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Kravtsov
Keyword(s):  
Random Matrices ◽  
Heavy Tails ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Basin Of Attraction ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Universal Properties ◽  
Random Matrix Ensembles ◽  
Free Random Variables ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Non Gaussian

This article considers non-Gaussian random matrices consisting of random variables with heavy-tailed probability distributions. In probability theory heavy tails of distributions describe rare but violent events which usually have a dominant influence on the statistics. Furthermore, they completely change the universal properties of eigenvalues and eigenvectors of random matrices. This article focuses on the universal macroscopic properties of Wigner matrices belonging to the Lévy basin of attraction, matrices representing stable free random variables, and a class of heavy-tailed matrices obtained by parametric deformations of standard ensembles. It first examines the properties of heavy-tailed symmetric matrices known as Wigner–Lévy matrices before discussing free random variables and free Lévy matrices as well as heavy-tailed deformations. In particular, it describes random matrix ensembles obtained from standard ensembles by a reweighting of the probability measure. It also analyses several matrix models belonging to heavy-tailed random matrices and presents methods for integrating them.

scholarly journals MIXED CAUSAL-NONCAUSAL AR PROCESSES AND THE MODELLING OF EXPLOSIVE BUBBLES

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 1234-1270 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sébastien Fries ◽  
Jean-Michel Zakoian
Keyword(s):  
Conditional Distribution ◽  
Stable Distribution ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Domain Of Attraction ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Autoregressive Processes ◽  
Financial Time ◽  
Causal Representation ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Non Gaussian

Noncausal autoregressive models with heavy-tailed errors generate locally explosive processes and, therefore, provide a convenient framework for modelling bubbles in economic and financial time series. We investigate the probability properties of mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive processes, assuming the errors follow a stable non-Gaussian distribution. Extending the study of the noncausal AR(1) model by Gouriéroux and Zakoian (2017), we show that the conditional distribution in direct time is lighter-tailed than the errors distribution, and we emphasize the presence of ARCH effects in a causal representation of the process. Under the assumption that the errors belong to the domain of attraction of a stable distribution, we show that a causal AR representation with non-i.i.d. errors can be consistently estimated by classical least-squares. We derive a portmanteau test to check the validity of the estimated AR representation and propose a method based on extreme residuals clustering to determine whether the AR generating process is causal, noncausal, or mixed. An empirical study on simulated and real data illustrates the potential usefulness of the results.

Centered error entropy Kalman filter with application to satellite attitude determination

2021 ◽  
pp. 014233122110198
Author(s):  
Baojian Yang ◽  
Lu Cao ◽  
Dechao Ran ◽  
Bing Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Gaussian Noise ◽  
Attitude Determination ◽  
Complexity Analysis ◽  
Iteration Algorithm ◽  
Robust Algorithms ◽  
Convergence Conditions ◽  
Satellite Attitude ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Non Gaussian

Due to unavoidable factors, heavy-tailed noise appears in satellite attitude estimation. Traditional Kalman filter is prone to performance degradation and even filtering divergence when facing non-Gaussian noise. The existing robust algorithms have limited accuracy. To improve the attitude determination accuracy under non-Gaussian noise, we use the centered error entropy (CEE) criterion to derive a new filter named centered error entropy Kalman filter (CEEKF). CEEKF is formed by maximizing the CEE cost function. In the CEEKF algorithm, the prior state values are transmitted the same as the classical Kalman filter, and the posterior states are calculated by the fixed-point iteration method. The CEE EKF (CEE-EKF) algorithm is also derived to improve filtering accuracy in the case of the nonlinear system. We also give the convergence conditions of the iteration algorithm and the computational complexity analysis of CEEKF. The results of the two simulation examples validate the robustness of the algorithm we presented.

scholarly journals Extended power-law scaling of air permeabilities measured on a block of tuff

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Siena ◽  
A. Guadagnini ◽  
M. Riva ◽  
S. P. Neuman
Keyword(s):  
Power Law ◽  
Structure Functions ◽  
Self Similarity ◽  
Scaling Exponents ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Sample Structure ◽  
Heavy Tailed ◽  
Non Gaussian ◽  
Nonlinear Fashion ◽  
Extended Power

Abstract. We use three methods to identify power-law scaling of multi-scale log air permeability data collected by Tidwell and Wilson on the faces of a laboratory-scale block of Topopah Spring tuff: method of moments (M), Extended Self-Similarity (ESS) and a generalized version thereof (G-ESS). All three methods focus on q-th-order sample structure functions of absolute increments. Most such functions exhibit power-law scaling at best over a limited midrange of experimental separation scales, or lags, which are sometimes difficult to identify unambiguously by means of M. ESS and G-ESS extend this range in a way that renders power-law scaling easier to characterize. Our analysis confirms the superiority of ESS and G-ESS over M in identifying the scaling exponents, ξ(q), of corresponding structure functions of orders q, suggesting further that ESS is more reliable than G-ESS. The exponents vary in a nonlinear fashion with q as is typical of real or apparent multifractals. Our estimates of the Hurst scaling coefficient increase with support scale, implying a reduction in roughness (anti-persistence) of the log permeability field with measurement volume. The finding by Tidwell and Wilson that log permeabilities associated with all tip sizes can be characterized by stationary variogram models, coupled with our findings that log permeability increments associated with the smallest tip size are approximately Gaussian and those associated with all tip sizes scale show nonlinear variations in ξ(q) with q, are consistent with a view of these data as a sample from a truncated version (tfBm) of self-affine fractional Brownian motion (fBm). Since in theory the scaling exponents, ξ(q), of tfBm vary linearly with q we conclude that nonlinear scaling in our case is not an indication of multifractality but an artifact of sampling from tfBm. This allows us to explain theoretically how power-law scaling of our data, as well as of non-Gaussian heavy-tailed signals subordinated to tfBm, are extended by ESS. It further allows us to identify the functional form and estimate all parameters of the corresponding tfBm based on sample structure functions of first and second orders.

Non-Gaussian probability distributions of solar wind fluctuations

1994 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 1127-1138 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Marsch ◽  
C. Y. Tu
Keyword(s):  
Solar Wind ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Time Lags ◽  
Mhd Turbulence ◽  
Theoretical Concepts ◽  
Fluid Turbulence ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Non Gaussian

Abstract. The probability distributions of field differences ∆x(τ)=x(t+τ)-x(t), where the variable x(t) may denote any solar wind scalar field or vector field component at time t, have been calculated from time series of Helios data obtained in 1976 at heliocentric distances near 0.3 AU. It is found that for comparatively long time lag τ, ranging from a few hours to 1 day, the differences are normally distributed according to a Gaussian. For shorter time lags, of less than ten minutes, significant changes in shape are observed. The distributions are often spikier and narrower than the equivalent Gaussian distribution with the same standard deviation, and they are enhanced for large, reduced for intermediate and enhanced for very small values of ∆x. This result is in accordance with fluid observations and numerical simulations. Hence statistical properties are dominated at small scale τ by large fluctuation amplitudes that are sparsely distributed, which is direct evidence for spatial intermittency of the fluctuations. This is in agreement with results from earlier analyses of the structure functions of ∆x. The non-Gaussian features are differently developed for the various types of fluctuations. The relevance of these observations to the interpretation and understanding of the nature of solar wind magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence is pointed out, and contact is made with existing theoretical concepts of intermittency in fluid turbulence.

scholarly journals Classroom note: An inductive derivation of Stirling numbers of the second kind and their applications in statistics

1997 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 151-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anwar H. Joarder ◽  
Munir Mahmood
Keyword(s):  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Stirling Numbers ◽  
Higher Order ◽  
Inductive Method ◽  
Higher Order Moments ◽  
Discrete Probability ◽  
Discrete Probability Distributions

An inductive method has been presented for finding Stirling numbers of the second kind. Applications to some discrete probability distributions for finding higher order moments have been discussed.

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