scholarly journals Investigation of robustness of hybrid artificial neural network with artificial bee colony and firefly algorithm in predicting COVID-19 new cases: case study of Iran

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Javad Shaibani ◽  
Sara Emamgholipour ◽  
Samira Sadate Moazeni
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Firefly Algorithm ◽  
Artificial Bee Colony ◽  
Bee Colony ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Hybrid Artificial Neural Network

scholarly journals Investigation of robustness of hybrid artificial neural network with artificial bee colony and firefly algorithm in predicting COVID-19 new cases: case study of Iran

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Javad Shaibani ◽  
Sara Emamgholipour ◽  
Samira Sadate Moazeni
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Firefly Algorithm ◽  
Artificial Bee Colony ◽  
Optimal Model ◽  
Accuracy Rate ◽  
Bee Colony ◽  
Maximum Accuracy ◽  
Marquardt Algorithm ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract As an ongoing public health menace, the novel coronavirus pandemic has challenged the world. With several mutations and a high transmission rate, the virus is able to infect individuals in an exponential manner. At the same time, Iran is confronted with multiple wave peaks and the health care system is facing a major challenge. In consequence, developing a robust forecasting methodology can assist health authorities for effective planning. In that regard, with the help of Artificial Neural Network-Artificial Bee Colony (ANN-ABC) and Artificial Neural Network- Firefly Algorithm (ANN-FA) as two robust hybrid artificial intelligence-based models, the current study intends to select the optimal model with the maximum accuracy rate. To do so, first a sample of COVID-19 confirmed cases in Iran ranging from 19 February 2020 to 25 July 2021 is compiled. 75% (25%) of total observation is randomly allocated as training (testing) data. Afterwards, an ANN models is trained with Levenberg Marquardt algorithm. Accordingly, based on R-squared and root-mean-square error criteria, the optimal number of hidden neurons is computed as 17. The proposed ANN model is employed to develop ANN-ABC and ANN-FA models for achieving the maximum accuracy rate. According to ANN-ABC, the R- squared values of the optimal model are 0.9884 and 0.9885 at train and test stages, correspondingly. In respect to ANN-FA, for the selected model, the R-squared ranged from 0.9954 to 0.9940 at the train and test phases, respectively. The results indicated that both hybrid ANN-ABC and ANN-FA are the robust predictor of COVID-19 new cases in Iran. Additionally, with a slight difference, the ANN-FA model outperformed ANN-ABC algorithm.

scholarly journals Development of option c measurement and verification model using hybrid artificial neural network-cross validation technique to quantify saving

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Wan Nazirah Wan Md Adnan ◽  
Nofri Yenita Dahlan ◽  
Ismail Musirin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Bee Colony Optimization ◽  
Bee Colony ◽  
Measurement And Verification ◽  
Bee Colony Optimization ◽  
Validation Technique ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Verification Model ◽  
Hybrid Artificial Neural Network

<span lang="EN-US">This paper aims to develop a hybrid artificial neural network for Option C Measurement and Verification model to predict monthly building energy consumption. In this work, baseline energy model development using artificial neural networks embedded with artificial bee colony optimization and cross validation technique for a small dataset were considered. Artificial bee colony optimization with coefficient of correlation fitness function was used in optimizing the neural network training process and selecting the optimal values of initial weights and biases. Working days, class days and cooling degree days were used as input meanwhile monthly electricity consumption as an output of artificial neural network. The results indicated that this hybrid artificial neural network model provided better prediction results compared to the other model. The best model with the highest value of coefficient of correlation was selected as the baseline model hence is used to determine the saving. </span>

scholarly journals PENERAPAN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK DENGAN OPTIMASI MODIFIED ARTIFICIAL BEE COLONY UNTUK MERAMALKAN HARGA BITCOIN TERHADAP RUPIAH

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-142
Author(s):  
Di Mokhammad Hakim Ilmawan ◽  
Budi Warsito ◽  
Sugito Sugito
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Bee Colony ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Future Period ◽  
Bee Colony ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Digital Assets

Bitcoin is one of digital assets that can be used to make a profit. One of the ways to use Bitcoin profitly is to trade Bitcoin. At trade activities, decisions making whether to buy or not are very crucial. If we can predict the price of Bitcoin in the future period, we can make a decisions whether to buy Bitcoin or not. Artificial Neural Network can be used to predict Bitcoin price data which is time series data. There are many learning algorithm in Artificial Neural Network, Modified Artificial Bee Colony is one of optimization algorithm that used to solve the optimal weight of Artificial Neural Network. In this study, the Bitcoin exchage rate against Rupiah starting September 1, 2017 to January 4, 2019 are used. Based on the training results obtained that MAPE value is 3,12% and the testing results obtained that MAPE value is 2,02%. This represent that the prediction results from Artificial Neural Network optimized by Modified Artificial Bee Colony algorithm are quite accurate because of small MAPE value.

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