Prediction of Urmia Lake Water-Level Fluctuations by Using Analytical, Linear Statistic and Intelligent Methods

2013 ◽  
Vol 27 (13) ◽  
pp. 4469-4492 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Kakahaji ◽  
Hamed Dehghan Banadaki ◽  
Abbas Kakahaji ◽  
Abdulamir Kakahaji
Keyword(s):  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Urmia Lake ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Linear Statistic ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Intelligent Methods

scholarly journals Investigating the effect of hydroclimatological variables on Urmia Lake water level using wavelet coherence measure

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Mahsa Ghasemzade ◽  
Ali Danande Mehr ◽  
Elnaz Sharghi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Geographical Location ◽  
Urmia Lake ◽  
Wavelet Coherence ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
North West ◽  
North East

Abstract In this paper, wavelet transform coherence is implemented to examine the impacts of hydroclimatological variables on water level fluctuations in two large saline lakes in the Middle East with a similar geographical location, namely, Urmia Lake in north-west Iran, which has an extremely simple ecological pyramid where water level decrease produces a very sensitive ecosystem, and Van Lake in north-east Turkey. The present study investigates trends in higher order moments of hydrological time series. The aim of this paper is to investigate the complexity of Urmia Lake water level time series which could lead to decrease fluctuations of time series. To this end, the strength and relationships between five hydroclimatological variables, including rainfall, runoff, temperature, relative humidity, as well as evaporation and water level fluctuations in the lakes were determined and discussed in terms of high common power region, phase relationships, and local multi-scale correlations. The results showed that among the hydroclimatological variables, runoff has the most coherencies (0.9–1) with water level fluctuations in the lakes. Although both lakes are located in a similar climatic region, for the recent 15 years, adverse trend in water level fluctuations of Urmia Lake indicates a critical condition for this lake.

Lake water level response to drought in a lake-rich region explained by lake and landscape characteristics

2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (11) ◽  
pp. 1836-1845
Author(s):  
K. Martin Perales ◽  
Catherine L. Hein ◽  
Noah R. Lottig ◽  
M. Jake Vander Zanden
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Lake Area ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Landscape Characteristics ◽  
Lake Ecology ◽  
Coarse Woody Habitat

Climate change is altering hydrologic regimes, with implications for lake water levels. While lakes within lake districts experience the same climate, lakes may exhibit differential climate vulnerability regarding water level response to drought. We took advantage of a recent drought (∼2005–2010) and estimated changes in lake area, water level, and shoreline position on 47 lakes in northern Wisconsin using high-resolution orthoimagery and hypsographic curves. We developed a model predicting water level response to drought to identify characteristics of the most vulnerable lakes in the region, which indicated that low-conductivity seepage lakes found high in the landscape, with little surrounding wetland and highly permeable soils, showed the greatest water level declines. To explore potential changes in the littoral zone, we estimated coarse woody habitat (CWH) loss during the drought and found that drainage lakes lost 0.8% CWH while seepage lakes were disproportionately impacted, with a mean loss of 40% CWH. Characterizing how lakes and lake districts respond to drought will further our understanding of how climate change may alter lake ecology via water level fluctuations.

Zooplankton species richness and abiotic conditions in Thirlmere Lakes, New South Wales, Australia, with reference to water-level fluctuations

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 107-123
Author(s):  
Tsuyoshi Kobayashi ◽  
Martin Krogh ◽  
Hiroyuki ◽  
Russell J. Shiel ◽  
Hendrik Segers ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Species Richness ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
New South ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Zooplankton Species ◽  
Abiotic Conditions ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
South Wales

Water-level fluctuations can have significant effects on lake biological communities. Thirlmere Lakes are a group of five interconnected lakes located near Sydney. Water levels in Thirlmere Lakes have fluctuated over time, but there has been a recent decline that is of significant concern. In this study, we examined over one year the species composition and richness of zooplankton (Rotifera, Cladocera and Copepoda) and abiotic conditions in Lakes Nerrigorang and Werri Berri, two of the five Thirlmere lakes, with reference to lake water level. We recorded a total of 66 taxa of zooplankton, with the first report of the rotifer Notommata saccigera from Australia, and the first report of the rotifers Keratella javana, Lecane rhytida and Rousseletia corniculata from New South Wales. There was a marked difference in abiotic conditions between the two lakes, with more variable conditions in Lake Nerrigorang. There was a significant positive correlation between zooplankton species richness and lake water level but only for Lake Nerrigorang. Although the two lakes are closely situated and thought to be potentially connected at high water levels, they show distinct ecological characters and the effect of water-level fluctuations on zooplankton species richness seems to differ between the lakes.

scholarly journals Study Clastic Sediments and Evaporite Deposits’ Changes in the Sedimentary Core Lake Maharlou, Iran

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdolah Safe ◽  
Fatemeh Sabokkhiz ◽  
Mohamad Hosein Ramesht ◽  
Morteza Djamali ◽  
Abdolmajid Naderi Beni
Keyword(s):  
Magnetic Susceptibility ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Core Sample ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Gravimetric Analysis ◽  
Zagros Mountains ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
The Core ◽  
Sedimentary Core

The continental environments, lakes are proper for deposition locations of evaporites. Evaporite minerals are formed wherever the evaporation rate is more than incoming water to the basin. In this article the evaporate deposits (Calcite, Gypsum and Halite) are studied in a sedimentary core of Lake Maharlou, Zagros Mountains, South of Iran. The core sample treated for getting Magnetic Susceptibility values along with the core as well as basic sedimentological data including grain size, Total Organic Matter and carbonate contents. NaCl is determin ed by gravimetric analysis. Loss on Ignition is applied to measure and estimate the amount of (OC), (Ca) and (SO4) mineralogy of which is determined by SEM method. The exists a direct relation between evaporation deposit formation of lake water level reduction. Accordingly, the change in the sediment stratum indicating the level of evaporations. The results indicate a lower extant of gypsum than Ca and NaCl. The sequence of layers principle, changes in the shoreline (lake water level fluctuations) with respect to stratum zonation. Magnetic susceptibility level is directly related to the Silt layer thickness but also there is an indirect relation with the level of organically rich sediments’ occurrence and abundance.

Trend and abrupt change analysis in water quality of Urmia Lake in comparison with changes in lake water level

2020 ◽  
Vol 192 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Taghi Sattari ◽  
Rasoul Mirabbasi ◽  
Salar Jarhan ◽  
Fatemeh Shaker Sureh ◽  
Sajjad Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Abrupt Change ◽  
Urmia Lake ◽  
Change Analysis ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Abrupt Change Analysis

A system dynamics approach for basin policy design: Urmia lake case study

Kybernetes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (6) ◽  
pp. 1691-1720
Author(s):  
Alireza Lari ◽  
Mir Saman Pishvaee ◽  
Pouria Khodabakhsh
Keyword(s):  
System Dynamics ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Urmia Lake ◽  
Water Volume ◽  
Actual Behavior ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Sd Model

Purpose Urmia lake water has impressively decreased recently and seriously endangered the lives of the inhabitants. In this paper, the effects of various factors on the reduction of the lake water are investigated and appropriate scenarios are proposed for future improvement. Due to the significant impact of agricultural issues on this crisis, this paper has focused specifically on agriculture. So, this paper aims to forecast and improve the lake water level. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, a system dynamics (SD) model, which is capable to consider various parameters and variables affecting the lake water level within nonlinear and dynamic relations, is developed. Findings To show the effectiveness of SD model, real data are used to run the model and the results show that the actual behavior of the lake water is reproduced with high validation (around 98.28 per cent). Also, five different scenarios are proposed to increase lake water volume. The hybrid Scenario 5 (which combines three other scenarios including increasing irrigation efficiency in the agricultural sector, changing cultivation pattern of agricultural products and returning some dams’ water that are consumed in the agricultural sector into the lake) is chosen as the most effective scenario for increasing lake volume about 15 billion m3. Originality/value The main contributions of this paper are systemic view to the whole problem, paying attention to the agriculture subject as one of the most important issues, considering many critical variables (e.g. evaporation, salinity and precipitation) and providing improvement policies along with assessing the effects of them.

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