Analysis of international trade integration of Eurasian countries: gravity model approach

Author(s):  
Anna Golovko ◽  
Hasan Sahin
2020 ◽  
Vol 74 ◽  
pp. 06001
Author(s):  
Juliet Abakumova ◽  
Olena Primierova

In the empirical tools for the research of trade integration a special place is occupied by gravity models, insofar as these models have rather high accuracy in explaining mutual trade flows. Recently, however, the gravity model approach has been subjected to critical rethinking: globalization brought considerable changes not only in economic growth, but also in international trade, what allowed speaking about a “Death of Distance”. At the same time, estimates based on gravity models almost always demonstrated an increase in the coefficient of distance as a proxy for transport costs, which contradicts the general perception of the phenomenon of globalization. The paper is devoted to testing the validity of inclusion of the globalization index in the model, which would allow consider the role of globalization in bilateral cross-country trade, as well as testing the hypothesis of reducing the coefficient of distance. Based on the annual panel data over the period 2000-2016 the trade integration model for the EEU countries was estimated. To test the hypothesis of a decrease in the estimated coefficient of distance over time, the gravity model was also evaluated at different time intervals. And the positive impact of the globalization factor on the volume of exports is revealed.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Afolabi O. Luqman ◽  
Nor Aznin Abu Bakar ◽  
Azman Aziz Mukhriz Izraf

Abstract This study aims to examine bilateral trade flows across ECOWAS-15 nations with the use of a panel and cross section for the period of 1981-2013. The methodology carried out to achieve this objective involves the use of various techniques of estimation for the gravity model (Static and dynamic). More specifically, this study aims to investigate the formational impact of regional trade integration agreements on trade flows within a group of countries using the same currencies and ECOWAS at large. The main use of regional variables into gravity models is intended to determine whether RTAs lead to trade creation, or diversion. The results show the presence of a strong relationship among the factors of both RIAs and trade flows.


2017 ◽  
Vol 66 ◽  
pp. 70-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bora Çekyay ◽  
Peral Toktaş Palut ◽  
Özgür Kabak ◽  
Füsun Ülengin ◽  
Özay Özaydın ◽  
...  

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