A COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF SOME NON-SEASONAL TIME SERIES FORECASTING METHODS

Author(s):  
M.F. Hassan ◽  
M.A. Shalaby ◽  
I.A. Gazarin
Author(s):  
Malek Sarhani ◽  
Abdellatif El Afia

Reliable prediction of future demand is needed to better manage and optimize supply chains. However, a difficulty of forecasting demand arises due to the fact that heterogeneous factors may affect it. Analyzing such data by using classical time series forecasting methods will fail to capture such dependency of factors. This chapter addresses these problems by examining the use of feature selection in forecasting using support vector regression while eliminating the calendar effect using X13-ARIMA-SEATS. The approach is investigated in three different case studies.


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