A hybrid deep learning-based neural network for 24-h ahead wind power forecasting

2019 ◽  
Vol 250 ◽  
pp. 530-539 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying-Yi Hong ◽  
Christian Lian Paulo P. Rioflorido
Author(s):  
Sumit Saroha ◽  
Sanjeev K. Aggarwal

Objective: The estimation accuracy of wind power is an important subject of concern for reliable grid operations and taking part in open access. So, with an objective to improve the wind power forecasting accuracy. Methods: This article presents Wavelet Transform (WT) based General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) with statistical time series input selection technique. Results: The results of the proposed model are compared with four different models namely naïve benchmark model, feed forward neural networks, recurrent neural networks and GRNN on the basis of Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) performance metric. Conclusion: The historical data used by the presented models has been collected from the Ontario Electricity Market for the year 2011 to 2015 and tested for a long time period of more than two years (28 months) from November 2012 to February 2015 with one month estimation moving window.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.M. González-Sopeña

Abstract. In the last few years, wind power forecasting has established itself as an essential tool in the energy industry due to the increase of wind power penetration in the electric grid. This paper presents a wind power forecasting method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and deep learning. EEMD is employed to decompose wind power time series data into several intrinsic mode functions and a residual component. Afterwards, every intrinsic mode function is trained by means of a CNN-LSTM architecture. Finally, wind power forecast is obtained by adding the prediction of every component. Compared to the benchmark model, the proposed approach provides more accurate predictions for several time horizons. Furthermore, prediction intervals are modelled using quantile regression.


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