As an important method for uncertainty modeling, Dempster–Shafer (DS) evidence theory has been widely used in practical applications. However, the results turned out to be almost counter-intuitive when fusing the different sources of highly conflicting evidence with Dempster’s combination rule. In previous researches, most of them were mainly dependent on the conflict measurement method between the evidence represented by the evidence distance. However, it is inaccurate to characterize the evidence conflict only through the evidence distance. To address this issue, we comprehensively consider the impacts of the evidence distance and evidence angle on conflicts in this paper, and propose a new method based on the mutual support degree between the evidence to characterize the evidence conflict. First, the Hellinger distance measurement method is proposed to measure the distance between the evidence, and the sine value of the Pignistic vector angle is used to characterize the angle between the evidence. The evidence distance indicates the dissimilarity between the evidence, and the evidence angle represents the inconsistency between the evidence. Next, two methods are combined to get a new method for measuring the mutual support degree between the evidence. Afterward, the weight of each evidence is determined by using the mutual support degree between the evidence. Then, the weights of each evidence are utilized to modify the original evidence to achieve the weighted average evidence. Finally, Dempster’s combination rule is used for fusion. Some numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness and reasonability for the proposed method.
A new method for vehicle system safety design based on data mining with uncertainty modeling
