An Approach for Evolving Neuro-Fuzzy Forecasting of Time Series Based on Parallel Recursive Singular Spectrum Analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Selmo Eduardo Rodrigues Júnior ◽  
Ginalber Luiz de Oliveira Serra
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Singular Spectrum ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Application of singular spectrum analysis in reconstruction of the annual signal from GRACE

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 295-302
Author(s):  
Chuandong Zhu ◽  
Wei Zhan ◽  
Jinzhao Liu ◽  
Ming Chen
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Mixture Effect ◽  
Singular Spectrum ◽  
Grace Data ◽  
Terrestrial Water ◽  
Annual Signal ◽  
Long Term Variations

AbstractThe mixture effect of the long-term variations is a main challenge in single channel singular spectrum analysis (SSA) for the reconstruction of the annual signal from GRACE data. In this paper, a nonlinear long-term variations deduction method is used to improve the accuracy of annual signal reconstructed from GRACE data using SSA. Our method can identify and eliminate the nonlinear long-term variations of the equivalent water height time series recovered from GRACE. Therefore the mixture effect of the long-term variations can be avoided in the annual modes of SSA. For the global terrestrial water recovered from GRACE, the peak to peak value of the annual signal is between 1.4 cm and 126.9 cm, with an average of 11.7 cm. After the long-term and the annual term have been deducted, the standard deviation of residual time series is between 0.9 cm and 9.9 cm, with an average of 2.1 cm. Compared with the traditional least squares fitting method, our method can reflect the dynamic change of the annual signal in global terrestrial water, more accurately with an uncertainty of between 0.3 cm and 2.9 cm.

scholarly journals Time Series Imputation via L1 Norm-Based Singular Spectrum Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 1850017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Kalantari ◽  
Masoud Yarmohammadi ◽  
Hossein Hassani ◽  
Emmanuel Sirimal Silva
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Series Data ◽  
L1 Norm ◽  
Nonparametric Approach ◽  
Singular Spectrum ◽  
Simulated Time

Missing values in time series data is a well-known and important problem which many researchers have studied extensively in various fields. In this paper, a new nonparametric approach for missing value imputation in time series is proposed. The main novelty of this research is applying the [Formula: see text] norm-based version of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), namely [Formula: see text]-SSA which is robust against outliers. The performance of the new imputation method has been compared with many other established methods. The comparison is done by applying them to various real and simulated time series. The obtained results confirm that the SSA-based methods, especially [Formula: see text]-SSA can provide better imputation in comparison to other methods.

scholarly journals Evidence of structured Brownian dynamics from temperature time series analysis

1997 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 251-254
Author(s):  
A. Pasini ◽  
V. Pelino ◽  
S. Potestà
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Brownian Dynamics ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Temperature Time Series ◽  
Singular Spectrum ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Temperature Time ◽  
Analysis Of Time Series

Abstract. An analysis of time series of monthly mean temperatures ranging from 1895 to 1989 is performed through application of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) to data of several places in the USA. A common dynamics in the reconstructed spaces is obtained, with the evidence of a non-trivial and structured coupling of two Brownian motions, resembling the so-called Lévy flights. The idea that these two correlated functions are related to the zonal and eddy components of the atmospheric motions is suggested.

Singular Spectrum Analysis Based on L1-Norm

2016 ◽  
Vol 15 (01) ◽  
pp. 1650009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Kalantari ◽  
Masoud Yarmohammadi ◽  
Hossein Hassani
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Frobenius Norm ◽  
L1 Norm ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Singular Spectrum ◽  
Simulated Time ◽  
Simulated Time Series ◽  
Basic Version

In recent years, the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) technique has been further developed and increasingly applied to solve many practical problems. The aim of this research is to introduce a new version of SSA based on [Formula: see text]-norm. The performance of the proposed approach is assessed by applying it to various real and simulated time series, especially with outliers. The results are compared with those obtained using the basic version of SSA which is based on the Frobenius norm or [Formula: see text]-norm. Different criteria are also examined including reconstruction errors and forecasting performances. The theoretical and empirical results confirm that SSA based on [Formula: see text]-norm can provide better reconstruction and forecasts in comparison to basic SSA when faced with time series which are polluted by outliers.

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