Short term load forecasting through heat index biasing approach for smart grid sustainability

2021 ◽  
Vol 48 ◽  
pp. 101637
Author(s):  
Manish Uppal ◽  
Dinesh Kumar ◽  
Vijay Kumar Garg
IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 54992-55008
Author(s):  
Dabeeruddin Syed ◽  
Haitham Abu-Rub ◽  
Ali Ghrayeb ◽  
Shady S. Refaat ◽  
Mahdi Houchati ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Wei Guo ◽  
Kai Zhang ◽  
Xinjie Wei ◽  
Mei Liu

Short-term load forecasting is an important part to support the planning and operation of power grid, but the current load forecasting methods have the problem of poor adaptive ability of model parameters, which are difficult to ensure the demand for efficient and accurate power grid load forecasting. To solve this problem, a short-term load forecasting method for smart grid is proposed based on multilayer network model. This method uses the integrated empirical mode decomposition (IEMD) method to realize the orderly and reliable load state data and provides high-quality data support for the prediction network model. The enhanced network inception module is used to adaptively adjust the parameters of the deep neural network (DNN) prediction model to improve the fitting and tracking ability of the prediction network. At the same time, the introduction of hybrid particle swarm optimization algorithm further enhances the dynamic optimization ability of deep reinforcement learning model parameters and can realize the accurate prediction of short-term load of smart grid. The simulation results show that the mean absolute percentage error e MAPE and root-mean-square error e RMSE of the performance indexes of the prediction model are 10.01% and 2.156 MW, respectively, showing excellent curve fitting ability and load forecasting ability.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 2587-2596 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashfaq Ahmad ◽  
Nadeem Javaid ◽  
Mohsen Guizani ◽  
Nabil Alrajeh ◽  
Zahoor Ali Khan

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guanchen Zhang

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is important for power system planning and optimization, especially in the dynamic environment of smart grid. Traditional load forecasting is implemented at substation levels to predict the upcoming active power and optimal system settings. In more advanced smart grid applications, e.g. the Volt-VAR Control, small-scale load forecasting opens up new opportunities in coordinating distributed resources such as distributed generation (DG) with utilities' efficiency missions. This paper proposes a STLF approach for small residential blocks with 10-12 households. The Nonlinear Autoregressive Neural Network (NAR-NN) is employed to predict hour-ahead active (P) and reactive (Q) powers with a moving window of training data. The regressor shrinkage technique, LASSO, is used to improve the selection of the regressors in the NAR-NN model by removing insignificant input features. The results show the forecasting performance could be enhanced by ~20% comparing to feed-forward Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). The improvement in forecasting both P & Q could accommodate new smart grid applications in small scales.


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