Parametric inference for ruin probability in the classical risk model

2018 ◽  
Vol 133 ◽  
pp. 28-37
Author(s):  
Takayoshi Oshime ◽  
Yasutaka Shimizu
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 298
Author(s):  
Yuan Gao ◽  
Lingju Chen ◽  
Jiancheng Jiang ◽  
Honglong You

In this paper we study estimating ruin probability which is an important problem in insurance. Our work is developed upon the existing nonparametric estimation method for the ruin probability in the classical risk model, which employs the Fourier transform but requires smoothing on the density of the sizes of claims. We propose a nonparametric estimation approach which does not involve smoothing and thus is free of the bandwidth choice. Compared with the Fourier-transformation-based estimators, our estimators have simpler forms and thus are easier to calculate. We establish asymptotic distributions of our estimators, which allows us to consistently estimate the asymptotic variances of our estimators with the plug-in principle and enables interval estimates of the ruin probability.


1997 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 297-318 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Asmussen ◽  
K. Binswanger

AbstractWe consider the classical risk model with subexponential claim size distribution. Three methods are presented to simulate the probability of ultimate ruin and we investigate their asymptotic efficiency. One, based upon a conditional Monte Carlo idea involving the order statistics, is shown to be asymptotically efficient in a certain sense. We use the simulation methods to study the accuracy of the standard Embrechts-Veraverbeke [16] approximation for the ruin probability and also suggest a new one based upon ideas of Hogan [21].


2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 359-359
Author(s):  
Evgueni Gordienko ◽  
Patricia Vázquez-Ortega

In Gordienko and Vázquez-Ortega (2016) page 801, the following reference was listed incorrectly: Yu, M.A. (2005) Sensitivity and convergence of uniformly ergodic Markov chains. Journal of Applied Probabilities, 42, 1003–1014. It should have instead been listed as: Mitrophanov, A. Yu. (2005) Sensitivity and convergence of uniformly ergodic Markov chains. Journal of Applied Probability, 42, 1003–1014.We sincerely regret the error and any problems that have resulted for the authors and readers.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 775-798 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J. Santana ◽  
Juan González-Hernández ◽  
Luis Rincón

2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Rongming ◽  
Liu Haifeng

AbstractIn this paper a class of risk processes in which claims occur as a renewal process is studied. A clear expression for Laplace transform of the finite time ruin probability is well given when the claim amount distribution is a mixed exponential. As its consequence, a well-known result about ultimate ruin probability in the classical risk model is obtained.


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