Decoupling analysis and peak prediction of carbon emission based on decoupling theory

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 ◽  
pp. 100424
Author(s):  
Chunxue Shi
Energy ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 122175
Author(s):  
Xiongfeng Pan ◽  
Shucen Guo ◽  
Haitao Xu ◽  
Mengyuan Tian ◽  
Xianyou Pan ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Jianli Sui ◽  
Wenqiang Lv

Modern agriculture contributes significantly to greenhouse gas emissions, and agriculture has become the second biggest source of carbon emissions in China. In this context, it is necessary for China to study the nexus of agricultural economic growth and carbon emissions. Taking Jilin province as an example, this paper applied the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis and a decoupling analysis to examine the relationship between crop production and agricultural carbon emissions during 2000–2018, and it further provided a decomposition analysis of the changes in agricultural carbon emissions using the log mean Divisia index (LMDI) method. The results were as follows: (1) Based on the results of CO2 EKC estimation, an N-shaped EKC was found; in particular, the upward trend in agricultural carbon emissions has not changed recently. (2) According to the results of the decoupling analysis, expansive coupling occurred for 9 years, which was followed by weak decoupling for 5 years, and strong decoupling and strong coupling occurred for 2 years each. There was no stable evolutionary path from coupling to decoupling, and this has remained true recently. (3) We used the LMDI method to decompose the driving factors of agricultural carbon emissions into four factors: the agricultural carbon emission intensity effect, structure effect, economic effect, and labor force effect. From a policymaking perspective, we integrated the results of both the EKC and the decoupling analysis and conducted a detailed decomposition analysis, focusing on several key time points. Agricultural economic growth was found to have played a significant role on many occasions in the increase in agricultural carbon emissions, while agricultural carbon emission intensity was important to the decline in agricultural carbon emissions. Specifically, the four factors’ driving direction in the context of agricultural carbon emissions was not stable. We also found that the change in agricultural carbon emissions was affected more by economic policy than by environmental policy. Finally, we put forward policy suggestions for low-carbon agricultural development in Jilin province.


2019 ◽  
Vol 210 ◽  
pp. 25-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Na Li ◽  
Miaomiao Cai ◽  
Kaiya Wu ◽  
Jiuchang Wei

Author(s):  
Qinyi Huang ◽  
Yu Zhang

Ensuring food security and curbing agricultural carbon emissions are both global policy goals. The evaluation of the relationship between grain production and agricultural carbon emissions is important for carbon emission reduction policymaking. This paper took Heilongjiang province, the largest grain-producing province in China, as a case study, estimated its grain production-induced carbon emissions, and examined the nexus between grain production and agricultural carbon emissions from 2000 to 2018, using decoupling and decomposition analyses. The results of decoupling analysis showed that weak decoupling occurred for half of the study period; however, the decoupling state and coupling state occurred alternately, and there was no definite evolving path from coupling to decoupling. Using the log mean Divisia index (LMDI) method, we decomposed the changes in agricultural carbon emissions into four factors: agricultural economy, agricultural carbon emission intensity, agricultural structure, and agricultural labor force effects. The results showed that the agricultural economic effect was the most significant driving factor for increasing agricultural carbon emissions, while the agricultural carbon emission intensity effect played a key inhibiting role. Further integrating decoupling analysis with decomposition analysis, we found that a low-carbon grain production mode began to take shape in Heilongjiang province after 2008, and the existing environmental policies had strong timeliness and weak persistence, probably due to the lack of long-term incentives for farmers. Finally, we suggested that formulating environmental policy should encourage farmers to adopt environmentally friendly production modes and technologies through taxation, subsidies, and other economic means to achieve low-carbon agricultural goals in China.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijin Xiang ◽  
Xiao Chen ◽  
Shuling Su ◽  
Zhichao Yin

Carbon emission leads to environmental and social consequences, which could be severe in the emerging economies. Owing to the dilemma of emission and economic expansion, it is necessary to achieve a more comprehensive understanding of the dynamic relationship between economic growth and carbon emission. Multivariate Wavelet analysis is introduced in addition to the decoupling analysis for BRICS countries. The decoupling analysis detects an obvious trend of economic growth decoupling from carbon emission in China, and generates mixed results for the other countries. Estimates of wavelet coherency suggest that BRICS countries have experienced different kinds of structural changes in growth–emission nexus. Results of partial phase-difference and wavelet gain imply that different resource endowments and growth paths lead to varied impact of economic growth on carbon emission and time-varying characteristics of the causality relationship over different frequencies. Energy structure and trade openness matter for anatomizing this time-varying relationship. To succeed in the fight against climate change, the policy makers need to pay serious attention to the dynamic impact of economic growth, energy structure, and trade openness on carbon emission.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 99
Author(s):  
Yong Adilah Shamsul Harumain ◽  
Nur Farhana Azmi ◽  
Suhaini Yusoff

Transit stations are generally well known as nodes of spaces where percentage of people walking are relatively high. The issue is do more planning is actually given to create walkability. Creating walking led transit stations involves planning of walking distance, providing facilities like pathways, toilets, seating and lighting. On the other hand, creating walking led transit station for women uncover a new epitome. Walking becomes one of the most important forms of mobility for women in developing countries nowadays. Encouraging women to use public transportation is not just about another effort to promote the use of public transportation but also another great endeavour to reduce numbers of traffic on the road. This also means, creating an effort to control accidents rate, reducing carbon emission, improving health and eventually, developing the quality of life. Hence, in this paper, we sought first to find out the factors that motivate women to walk at transit stations in Malaysia. A questionnaire survey with 562 female user of Light Railway Transit (LRT) was conducted at LRT stations along Kelana Jaya Line. Both built and non-built environment characteristics, particularly distance, safety and facilities were found as factors that are consistently associated with women walkability. With these findings, the paper highlights the criteria  which are needed to create and make betterment of transit stations not just for women but also for walkability in general.


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