scholarly journals Analysis of Bus Travel Time Variability using Automatic Vehicle Location Data

2020 ◽  
Vol 48 ◽  
pp. 3283-3298
Author(s):  
M.M. Harsha ◽  
Raviraj H Mulangi ◽  
H.D. Dinesh Kumar
Author(s):  
Zhenliang Ma ◽  
Sicong Zhu ◽  
Haris N. Koutsopoulos ◽  
Luis Ferreira

Transit agencies increasingly deploy planning strategies to improve service reliability and real-time operational control to mitigate the effects of travel time variability. The design of such strategies can benefit from a better understanding of the underlying causes of travel time variability. Despite a significant body of research on the topic, findings remain influenced by the approach used to analyze the data. Most studies use linear regression to characterize the relationship between travel time reliability and covariates in the context of central tendency. However, in many planning applications, the actual distribution of travel time and how it is affected by various factors is of interest, not just the condition mean. This paper describes a quantile regression approach to analyzing the impacts of the underlying determinants on the distribution of travel times rather than its central tendency, using supply and demand data from automatic vehicle location and farecard systems collected in Brisbane, Australia. Case studies revealed that the quantile regression model provides more indicative information than does the conditional mean regression method. Moreover, most of the coefficients estimated from quantile regression are significantly different from the conditional mean–based regression model in terms of coefficient values, signs, and significance levels. The findings provide information related to the impacts of planning, operational, and environmental factors on speed and its variability. On the basis of this information, transit designers and planners can design targeted strategies to improve travel time reliability effectively and efficiently.


Author(s):  
Zhen-Liang Ma ◽  
Luis Ferreira ◽  
Mahmoud Mesbah ◽  
Ahmad Tavassoli Hojati

Travel time reliability is an important aspect of bus service quality. Despite a significant body of research on private vehicle reliability, little attention has been paid to bus travel time reliability at the stop-to-stop link level on different types of roads. This study aims to identify and quantify the underlying determinants of bus travel time reliability on links of different road types with the use of supply and demand data from automatic vehicle location and smart card systems collected in Brisbane, Australia. Three general bus-related models were developed with respect to the main concerns of travelers and planners: average travel time, buffer time, and coefficient of variation of travel time. Five groups of alternative models were developed to account for variations caused by different road types, including arterial road, motorway, busway, and central business district. Seemingly unrelated regression equations estimation were applied to account for cross-equation correlations across regression models in each group. Three main categories of unreliability contributory factors were identified and tested in this study, namely, planning, operational, and environmental. Model results provided insights into these factors that affect bus travel time and its variability. The most important predictors were found to be the recurrent congestion index, traffic signals, and passenger demand at stops. Results could be used to target specific strategies aimed at reducing unreliability on different types of roads.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 168781401880212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengping Yang ◽  
Liqun Peng ◽  
Chenhao Wang ◽  
Yuelong Bai

Although the bus probe data have been widely adopted for examining the transit route efficiency, this application cannot guarantee the accuracy in special temporal and spatial segments due to the inadequate probe samples. This study evaluates the feasibility of automatic vehicle location data as probes for the bus route travel time evaluation. Our techniques explore the minimum requirement of transit automatic vehicle location data to recover the bus trajectories in various spatial–temporal dimensions along the scheduled transit routes. First, a three-dimensional tensor is established to infer the uncovered link traveling information in current time slots and the last short-term period. Then, a general form is proposed to calculate the local mean travel speed and the average link travel time in each separated time slot of day. Finally, a case study has been conducted using field transit automatic vehicle location data running on a bus route corridor in Edmonton, Canada. The results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of low-frequency bus automatic vehicle location data as probes for transit route efficiency measurement by comparing with baseline approaches. This work also supports the feasibility of using automatic vehicle location–equipped buses as customized buses for choosing alternate path based on evaluating the current transit efficiency on all routes.


2017 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 101-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Comi ◽  
Agostino Nuzzolo ◽  
Stefano Brinchi ◽  
Renata Verghini

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gege Jiang ◽  
Hong Kam LO ◽  
Zheng LIANG

2003 ◽  
Vol 1856 (1) ◽  
pp. 118-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Skabardonis ◽  
Pravin Varaiya ◽  
Karl F. Petty

A methodology and its application to measure total, recurrent, and nonrecurrent (incident related) delay on urban freeways are described. The methodology used data from loop detectors and calculated the average and the probability distribution of delays. Application of the methodology to two real-life freeway corridors in Los Angeles, California, and one in the San Francisco, California, Bay Area, indicated that reliable measurement of congestion also should provide measures of uncertainty in congestion. In the three applications, incident-related delay was found to be 13% to 30% of the total congestion delay during peak periods. The methodology also quantified the congestion impacts on travel time and travel time variability.


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