Predictive factors for early death identified by the comprehensive geriatric assessment in patients with gastrointestinal tumors (git): A prospective cohort study with 513 patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. S64
Author(s):  
J. Telles de Oliveira lima Sales ◽  
A.L. Rocha Bezerra Júnior ◽  
F. Albuquerque Fernandes Nóbrega ◽  
M.E. Magno Gonçalves ◽  
J.I. Costa Junior ◽  
...  
2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e21537-e21537
Author(s):  
Jurema Telles O Lima ◽  
Anke Bergmann ◽  
Maria Julia Gonçalves Mello ◽  
Zilda Cavalcanti ◽  
Mirella Rebello Bezerra ◽  
...  

e21537 Background: Components of the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) correlate with risk of early mortality in elderly cancer patients (ECP). However, its complexity and the time required for its administration. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of each CGA domain on overall survival(OS) and to first step for the development of a prognostic scoring system to stratify ECP. Methods: a prospective cohort study. Participants with a recent diagnosis of cancer were from eight hospitals and one cancer center in Brazil and were recruited during their first medical appointment at the outpatient oncologic clinic. A basal CGA was done before the care decision (ADL, Charlson Comorbidity Index- CCI, Karnofsky Performance status – KPS, GDS15, IPAQ, MMSE, MNA, MNA-SF, PS, PPS, Polipharmacy, QLQc30, TUG). During the follow up of six months, information about the treatments performed and early death was collected. OS was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method, and survival curves were compared using the Log rank test for categorical variables. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to select early death risk factors. A clinical score considering the number of risk variables was created. Results: From 2015-2016, 608 ECP, mean age 71.9 (SD ±7.4; range 60-96), 50.7% male, were enrolled. 100 (16.4%) ECP died in less than six months of follow-up. In our multivariate model, controlled by age, site of cancer and cancer stage, the remaining significant risk factors were malnutrition/nonutrition determined by MNA (HR 3.3, 95%CI 1.81-5.99, p < 0.001), KPS < 50% (HR 2.44, CI 1.56-3.81, p < 0.001) and CCI > 2 (HR 1.6, CI 1.09-2.52, p = 0.018). The risk for early death according to the number of risk variables: three (HR 12.99, CI 5.69-29.60, p < 0.001), two (HR 5.65, CI 2.61-12.24, p < 0.001) or one (HR 2.7, CI 1.28-5.87, p = 0.009). Conclusions: a practical clinical score using three instruments of the CGA (MNA, KPS and CCI) can predict independent the risk for an early death in ECP. The development of a practical system for risk scoring, incorporating few clinical prognostic factors, helps to stratify patients into risk groups and to plan a personalized care.


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