scholarly journals Prediction models for COVID-19 clinical decision making

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (10) ◽  
pp. e496-e497
Author(s):  
Artuur M Leeuwenberg ◽  
Ewoud Schuit
2020 ◽  
pp. 084653712094143
Author(s):  
Jaryd R. Christie ◽  
Pencilla Lang ◽  
Lauren M. Zelko ◽  
David A. Palma ◽  
Mohamed Abdelrazek ◽  
...  

Lung cancer remains the most common cause of cancer death worldwide. Recent advances in lung cancer screening, radiotherapy, surgical techniques, and systemic therapy have led to increasing complexity in diagnosis, treatment decision-making, and assessment of recurrence. Artificial intelligence (AI)–based prediction models are being developed to address these issues and may have a future role in screening, diagnosis, treatment selection, and decision-making around salvage therapy. Imaging plays an essential role in all components of lung cancer management and has the potential to play a key role in AI applications. Artificial intelligence has demonstrated value in prognostic biomarker discovery in lung cancer diagnosis, treatment, and response assessment, putting it at the forefront of the next phase of personalized medicine. However, although exploratory studies demonstrate potential utility, there is a need for rigorous validation and standardization before AI can be utilized in clinical decision-making. In this review, we will provide a summary of the current literature implementing AI for outcome prediction in lung cancer. We will describe the anticipated impact of AI on the management of patients with lung cancer and discuss the challenges of clinical implementation of these techniques.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hang Wun Raymond Li ◽  
Scott M. Nelson

Anti-Müllerian hormone reflects the continuum of the functional ovarian reserve, and as such can predict ovarian response to gonadotropin stimulation and be used to individualize treatment pathways to improve efficacy and safety. However, consistent with other biomarkers and age-based prediction models it has limited ability to predict live birth and should not be used to refuse treatment, but rather to inform counselling and shared decision making. The use of absolute clinical thresholds to stratify patient phenotypes, assess discordance and individualize treatment protocols in non-validated algorithms combined with the lack of standardization of assays may result in inappropriate classification and sub-optimal clinical decision making. We propose that holistic baseline phenotyping, incorporating antral follicle count and other patient characteristics is critical. Treatment decisions driven by validated algorithms that use ovarian reserve biomarkers as continuous measures, reducing the risk of misclassification, are likely to improve overall outcomes for our patients.


BMC Medicine ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben Van Calster ◽  
◽  
David J. McLernon ◽  
Maarten van Smeden ◽  
Laure Wynants ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The assessment of calibration performance of risk prediction models based on regression or more flexible machine learning algorithms receives little attention. Main text Herein, we argue that this needs to change immediately because poorly calibrated algorithms can be misleading and potentially harmful for clinical decision-making. We summarize how to avoid poor calibration at algorithm development and how to assess calibration at algorithm validation, emphasizing balance between model complexity and the available sample size. At external validation, calibration curves require sufficiently large samples. Algorithm updating should be considered for appropriate support of clinical practice. Conclusion Efforts are required to avoid poor calibration when developing prediction models, to evaluate calibration when validating models, and to update models when indicated. The ultimate aim is to optimize the utility of predictive analytics for shared decision-making and patient counseling.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 7443-7446

Autism spectrum disorder is a pervasive developmental disorder that affects the behavioral and communication function of the children. It shows poor performance in communication, social and cognitive abilities, which are generally characterized by developmental delays and abnormal activities in their regular work. Early intervention can reduce the autism spectrum disorders. Machine learning techniques are used to detect autistic features in childhood. The prediction models are implemented as classification problem in which model is constructed by using real-time autism dataset. The proposed work is use Backpropagation and learning vector quantization with different distance measures like Euclidean Distance, Manhattan Distance, and City Block Distance to predict whether a child has autism spectrum disorder and also defines the grade of the autism. So that it can be supported for the clinical decision making. It enables automated clinical autism spectrum disorder diagnostic process using machine learning models.


2011 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 121-123
Author(s):  
Jeri A. Logemann

Evidence-based practice requires astute clinicians to blend our best clinical judgment with the best available external evidence and the patient's own values and expectations. Sometimes, we value one more than another during clinical decision-making, though it is never wise to do so, and sometimes other factors that we are unaware of produce unanticipated clinical outcomes. Sometimes, we feel very strongly about one clinical method or another, and hopefully that belief is founded in evidence. Some beliefs, however, are not founded in evidence. The sound use of evidence is the best way to navigate the debates within our field of practice.


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