Aggregated Markov processes incorporating time interval omission

1988 ◽  
Vol 20 (03) ◽  
pp. 546-572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball ◽  
Mark Sansom

We consider a finite-state-space, continuous-time Markov chain which is time reversible. The state space is partitioned into two sets, termed ‘open' and ‘closed', and it is only possible to observe which set the process is in. Further, short sojourns in either the open or closed sets of states will fail to be detected. We show that the dynamic stochastic properties of the observed process are completely described by an embedded Markov renewal process. The parameters of this Markov renewal process are obtained, allowing us to derive expressions for the moments and autocorrelation functions of successive sojourns in both the open and closed states. We illustrate the theory with a numerical study.

1988 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 546-572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball ◽  
Mark Sansom

We consider a finite-state-space, continuous-time Markov chain which is time reversible. The state space is partitioned into two sets, termed ‘open' and ‘closed', and it is only possible to observe which set the process is in. Further, short sojourns in either the open or closed sets of states will fail to be detected. We show that the dynamic stochastic properties of the observed process are completely described by an embedded Markov renewal process. The parameters of this Markov renewal process are obtained, allowing us to derive expressions for the moments and autocorrelation functions of successive sojourns in both the open and closed states. We illustrate the theory with a numerical study.


1991 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 772-797 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball ◽  
Robin K. Milne ◽  
Geoffrey F. Yeo

We consider a semi-Markov process with finite state space, partitioned into two classes termed ‘open' and ‘closed'. It is possible to observe only which class the process is in. We show that complete information concerning the aggregated process is contained in an embedded Markov renewal process, whose parameters, moments and equilibrium behaviour are determined. Such processes have found considerable application in stochastic modelling of single ion channels. In that setting there is time interval omission, i.e. brief sojourns in either class failed to be detected. Complete information on the aggregated process incorporating time interval omission is contained in a Markov renewal process, whose properties are derived, obtained from the above Markov renewal process by a further embedding. The embedded Markov renewal framework is natural, and its invariance to time interval omission leads to considerable economy in the derivation of properties of the observed process. The results are specialised to the case when the underlying process is a continuous-time Markov chain.


1991 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 772-797 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball ◽  
Robin K. Milne ◽  
Geoffrey F. Yeo

We consider a semi-Markov process with finite state space, partitioned into two classes termed ‘open' and ‘closed'. It is possible to observe only which class the process is in. We show that complete information concerning the aggregated process is contained in an embedded Markov renewal process, whose parameters, moments and equilibrium behaviour are determined. Such processes have found considerable application in stochastic modelling of single ion channels. In that setting there is time interval omission, i.e. brief sojourns in either class failed to be detected. Complete information on the aggregated process incorporating time interval omission is contained in a Markov renewal process, whose properties are derived, obtained from the above Markov renewal process by a further embedding. The embedded Markov renewal framework is natural, and its invariance to time interval omission leads to considerable economy in the derivation of properties of the observed process. The results are specialised to the case when the underlying process is a continuous-time Markov chain.


1997 ◽  
Vol 29 (01) ◽  
pp. 92-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball ◽  
Sue Davies

The gating mechanism of a single ion channel is usually modelled by a continuous-time Markov chain with a finite state space. The state space is partitioned into two classes, termed ‘open’ and ‘closed’, and it is possible to observe only which class the process is in. In many experiments channel openings occur in bursts. This can be modelled by partitioning the closed states further into ‘short-lived’ and ‘long-lived’ closed states, and defining a burst of openings to be a succession of open sojourns separated by closed sojourns that are entirely within the short-lived closed states. There is also evidence that bursts of openings are themselves grouped together into clusters. This clustering of bursts can be described by the ratio of the variance Var (N(t)) to the mean[N(t)] of the number of bursts of openings commencing in (0, t]. In this paper two methods of determining Var (N(t))/[N(t)] and limt→∝Var (N(t))/[N(t)] are developed, the first via an embedded Markov renewal process and the second via an augmented continuous-time Markov chain. The theory is illustrated by a numerical study of a molecular stochastic model of the nicotinic acetylcholine receptor. Extensions to semi-Markov models of ion channel gating and the incorporation of time interval omission are briefly discussed.


1990 ◽  
Vol 22 (04) ◽  
pp. 802-830 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball

We consider a time reversible, continuous time Markov chain on a finite state space. The state space is partitioned into two sets, termed open and closed, and it is only possible to observe whether the process is in an open or a closed state. Further, short sojourns in either the open or closed states fail to be detected. We consider the situation when the length of minimal detectable sojourns follows a negative exponential distribution with mean μ–1. We show that the probability density function of observed open sojourns takes the form , where n is the size of the state space. We present a thorough asymptotic analysis of f O(t) as μ tends to infinity. We discuss the relevance of our results to the modelling of single channel records. We illustrate the theory with a numerical example.


1997 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 92-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball ◽  
Sue Davies

The gating mechanism of a single ion channel is usually modelled by a continuous-time Markov chain with a finite state space. The state space is partitioned into two classes, termed ‘open’ and ‘closed’, and it is possible to observe only which class the process is in. In many experiments channel openings occur in bursts. This can be modelled by partitioning the closed states further into ‘short-lived’ and ‘long-lived’ closed states, and defining a burst of openings to be a succession of open sojourns separated by closed sojourns that are entirely within the short-lived closed states. There is also evidence that bursts of openings are themselves grouped together into clusters. This clustering of bursts can be described by the ratio of the variance Var (N(t)) to the mean [N(t)] of the number of bursts of openings commencing in (0, t]. In this paper two methods of determining Var (N(t))/[N(t)] and limt→∝ Var (N(t))/[N(t)] are developed, the first via an embedded Markov renewal process and the second via an augmented continuous-time Markov chain. The theory is illustrated by a numerical study of a molecular stochastic model of the nicotinic acetylcholine receptor. Extensions to semi-Markov models of ion channel gating and the incorporation of time interval omission are briefly discussed.


1990 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 802-830 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Ball

We consider a time reversible, continuous time Markov chain on a finite state space. The state space is partitioned into two sets, termed open and closed, and it is only possible to observe whether the process is in an open or a closed state. Further, short sojourns in either the open or closed states fail to be detected. We consider the situation when the length of minimal detectable sojourns follows a negative exponential distribution with mean μ–1. We show that the probability density function of observed open sojourns takes the form , where n is the size of the state space. We present a thorough asymptotic analysis of fO(t) as μ tends to infinity. We discuss the relevance of our results to the modelling of single channel records. We illustrate the theory with a numerical example.


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