A limit theorem for a class of supercritical branching processes

1972 ◽  
Vol 9 (04) ◽  
pp. 707-724 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Doney

In the Bellman-Harris (B-H) age-dependent branching process, the birth of a child can occur only at the time of its parent's death. A general class of branching process in which births can occur throughout the lifetime of a parent has been introduced by Crump and Mode. This class shares with the B-H process the property that the generation sizes {ξn } form a Galton-Watson process, and so may be classified into subcritical, critical or supercritical according to the value of m = E{ξ 1}. Crump and Mode showed that, as regards extinction probability, asymptotic behaviour, and for the supercritical case, convergence in mean square of Z(t)/E[Z(t)], as t → ∞, where Z(t) is the population size at time t given one ancestor at t = 0, properties of the B-H process can be extended to this general class. In this paper conditions are found for the convergence in distribution of Z(t)/E{Z(t)} in the supercritical case to a non-degenerate limit distribution. In contrast to the B-H process, these conditions are not the same as those for ξn /mn to have a non-degenerate limit. An integral equation is established for the generating function of Z(t), which is more complicated than the corresponding one for the B-H process and involves the conditional probability generating functional of N(x), x 0, ≧ the number of children born to an individual in the age interval [0, x].

1972 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 707-724 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Doney

In the Bellman-Harris (B-H) age-dependent branching process, the birth of a child can occur only at the time of its parent's death. A general class of branching process in which births can occur throughout the lifetime of a parent has been introduced by Crump and Mode. This class shares with the B-H process the property that the generation sizes {ξn} form a Galton-Watson process, and so may be classified into subcritical, critical or supercritical according to the value of m = E{ξ1}. Crump and Mode showed that, as regards extinction probability, asymptotic behaviour, and for the supercritical case, convergence in mean square of Z(t)/E[Z(t)], as t → ∞, where Z(t) is the population size at time t given one ancestor at t = 0, properties of the B-H process can be extended to this general class. In this paper conditions are found for the convergence in distribution of Z(t)/E{Z(t)} in the supercritical case to a non-degenerate limit distribution. In contrast to the B-H process, these conditions are not the same as those for ξn/mn to have a non-degenerate limit. An integral equation is established for the generating function of Z(t), which is more complicated than the corresponding one for the B-H process and involves the conditional probability generating functional of N(x), x 0, ≧ the number of children born to an individual in the age interval [0, x].


1971 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 589-598 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krishna B. Athreya

The functional equation ϕ(mu) = h(ϕ(u)) where is a probability generating function with 1 < m = h'(1 –) < ∞ and where F(t) is a non-decreasing right continuous function with F(0 –) = 0, F(0 +) < 1 and F(+ ∞) = 1 arises in a Galton-Watson process in a natural way. We prove here that for any if and only if This unifies several results in the literature on the supercritical Galton-Watson process. We generalize this to an age dependent branching process case as well.


1971 ◽  
Vol 8 (03) ◽  
pp. 589-598 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krishna B. Athreya

The functional equation ϕ(mu) = h(ϕ(u)) where is a probability generating function with 1 &lt; m = h'(1 –) &lt; ∞ and where F(t) is a non-decreasing right continuous function with F(0 –) = 0, F(0 +) &lt; 1 and F(+ ∞) = 1 arises in a Galton-Watson process in a natural way. We prove here that for any if and only if This unifies several results in the literature on the supercritical Galton-Watson process. We generalize this to an age dependent branching process case as well.


1973 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 198-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Doney

If Z(t) denotes the population size in a Bellman-Harris age-dependent branching process such that a non-denenerate random variable W, then it is known that E(W) = 1 and that ϕ (u) = E(e–uW) satisfies a well-known integral equation. In this situation Athreya [1] has recently found a NASC for E(W |log W| y) <∞, for γ > 0. This paper generalizes Athreya's results in two directions. Firstly a more general class of branching processes is considered; secondly conditions are found for E(W 1 + βL(W)) < ∞ for 0 β < 1, where L is one of a class of functions of slow variation.


1988 ◽  
Vol 104 (2) ◽  
pp. 413-416 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. R. Grey

A Markov branching process in either discrete time (the Galton–Watson process) or continuous time is modified by the introduction of a process of catastrophes which remove some individuals (and, by implication, their descendants) from the population. The catastrophe process is independent of the reproduction mechanism and takes the form of a sequence of independent identically distributed non-negative integer-valued random variables. In the continuous time case, these catastrophes occur at the points of an independent Poisson process with constant rate. If at any time the size of a catastrophe is at least the current population size, then the population becomes extinct. Thus in both discrete and continuous time we still have a Markov chain with stationary transition probabilities and an absorbing state at zero. Some authors use the term ‘emigration’ as an alternative to ‘catastrophe’.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 678-686
Author(s):  
Edgar Z. Ganuza ◽  
S. D. Durham

Letting Z(t) be the number of objects alive at time t in a general supercritical age-dependent branching process generated by a single ancestor born at time 0, one achieves (Theorem 1) mean-square convergence of Z(t)/E[Z(t)] provided and , where N(t) is the number of offspring of the initial ancestor born by time t and α is the (positive) Malthusian parameter defined by . If the stronger conditions that (Theorem 2) and hold also, then the convergence is almost-sure. It is of interest that the embedded Galton-Watson process of successive generations need not have a finite mean for the conditions of the above theorems to hold. Similar results are obtained for the age-distribution as well.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 678-686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edgar Z. Ganuza ◽  
S. D. Durham

Letting Z(t) be the number of objects alive at time t in a general supercritical age-dependent branching process generated by a single ancestor born at time 0, one achieves (Theorem 1) mean-square convergence of Z(t)/E[Z(t)] provided and , where N(t) is the number of offspring of the initial ancestor born by time t and α is the (positive) Malthusian parameter defined by . If the stronger conditions that (Theorem 2) and hold also, then the convergence is almost-sure. It is of interest that the embedded Galton-Watson process of successive generations need not have a finite mean for the conditions of the above theorems to hold. Similar results are obtained for the age-distribution as well.


1973 ◽  
Vol 10 (01) ◽  
pp. 198-205 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Doney

If Z(t) denotes the population size in a Bellman-Harris age-dependent branching process such that a non-denenerate random variable W, then it is known that E(W) = 1 and that ϕ (u) = E(e–uW ) satisfies a well-known integral equation. In this situation Athreya [1] has recently found a NASC for E(W |log W| y ) &lt;∞, for γ &gt; 0. This paper generalizes Athreya's results in two directions. Firstly a more general class of branching processes is considered; secondly conditions are found for E(W 1 + βL(W)) &lt; ∞ for 0 β &lt; 1, where L is one of a class of functions of slow variation.


1978 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. D. Biggins

In a supercritical branching random walk on Rp, a Galton–Watson process with the additional feature that people have positions, let be the set of positions of the nth-generation people, scaled by the factor n–1. It is shown that when the process survives looks like a convex set for large n. An analogous result is established for an age-dependent branching process in which people also have positions. In certain cases an explicit formula for the asymptotic shape is given.


1977 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 387-390 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry Cohn

It is shown for a supercritical branching process with immigration that if the log moment of the immigration distribution is infinite, then no sequence of positive constants {cn} exists such that {Xn/cn} converges in law to a proper limit distribution function F, except for the case F(0 +) = 1. Seneta's result [1] combined with the above-mentioned one imply that if 1 < m < ∞ then the finiteness of the log moment of the immigration distribution is a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of some constants {cn} such that {Xn/cn} converges in law to a proper limit distribution function F, with F(0 +) < 1.


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