Searching for Gambles: Gambling Sentiment and Stock Market Outcomes

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Chen ◽  
Alok Kumar ◽  
Chendi Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Institutional Ownership ◽  
Market Outcomes ◽  
Local Bias ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Search Volume ◽  
Short Run

Abstract Using Internet search volume for lottery to capture gambling sentiment shifts, we show that when the overall gambling sentiment is strong, investor demand for lottery stocks increases, these stocks earn positive short-run abnormal returns, managers are more likely to split stocks to cater to the increased demand for low-priced lottery stocks, and initial public offerings (IPOs) earn higher first day returns. Further, the sentiment-return relation is stronger among low institutional ownership firms, headquartered in regions where gambling is more acceptable and local bias is stronger. These results suggest that gambling sentiment has a spillover effect on the stock market.

Performance of IPOs of Indian Companies Backed by Private Equity

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 397-409
Author(s):  
Till Drebinger ◽  
Shailendra Kumar Rai ◽  
Heiko Hinrichs
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Private Equity ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Ipo Performance ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

We examine 616 Indian initial public offerings (IPOs), including 116 IPOs backed by private equity (PE), between 2000 and 2016, to test whether PE-backed IPOs perform better than non-PE-backed IPOs in the short run as well as in the long run in terms of cumulative abnormal returns (CARs). We also examine the impact of the PE firm nationality on post-IPO performance. Consistent with the existing literature, we find underperformance for all IPOs, on an average, within 1 year. However, PE-backed IPOs have lower degree of underperformance than non-PE-backed IPOs. We also find that size, liquidity and leverage have a positive impact on the post-IPO performance after the financial crisis, whereas issue amount and capital issue year are negatively correlated to CARs before and during the crisis. We also find significant effects of PE firm nationality on CAR development. IPOs backed by India-dedicated PE firms perform best, while those backed by foreign PE firms perform worst and even underperform non-PE-backed IPOs. IPOs by foreign PE firms perform better if they co-invest with India-dedicated PE firms.

scholarly journals New evidence of short-run underpricing in Australian IPOs

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wasantha Perera ◽  
Nada Kulendran
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Closing Price ◽  
Short Run ◽  
New Evidence

The short-run market performance of initial public offerings (IPOs) indicates that the prices are often underpriced. This is widely accepted as a universal phenomenon. To find out whether Australian IPOs are underpriced, this paper analyzes the short-run market performance of 254 IPOs by industry, listing year and issue year. To measure the performance, the first-day returns are divided into the opening price primary market and the closing price secondary market, and the post-listing returns are also examined. The study found that, overall, Australian IPOs were underpriced by 25.47% based on abnormal returns and 26.43% on raw returns on the first-day primary market, which was statistically significant at the 1% level. However, analysis of the secondary market indicates that the Australian IPOs were overpriced by 1.55% and 1.54% on abnormal and raw returns, respectively, which was statistically significant at the 5% level. The examination of post-listing returns shows that Australian IPOs were underpriced based on cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) on the 3rd, 6th, and 10thdays by 24.63%, 24.06%, and 23.34%, respectively. The primary and post-listing analysis shows that IPOs in the industrial sector are more attractive to investors, whereas those in the chemical and materials sector are less attractive compared to other sectors. As far as the investors’ wealth is concerned, the study concludes that the short-run market performance analysis should consider both the first-day and post-listing returns

scholarly journals The Pricing of Portuguese Privatisation Second Initial Public Offerings

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Rui Alpalhão
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Alternative Methods ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
The Past ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Good Rating

The paper studies the pricing of PSIPOs (privatization second initial public offerings) PIPOs of companies that had been public in the past. A dataset comprising all the Portuguese companies nationalized in 1975 and privatized in the late eighties and nineties is used. Findings on short- and long-run pricing of IPOs and PIPOs are summarized, and implications for the pricing of PSIPOs are discussed. Short- and long-run returns are computed, using three alternative methods (buy and hold abnormal returns, wealth relatives, and cumulative abnormal returns) in the long-run analysis. Short-run overpricing is identified, unlike the underpricing pattern revealed by most IPO research. This initial overpricing is essentially found to be corrected in the first trading month. In the long-run, no evidence of overpricing is found, again unlike the usual conclusion of the IPO literature, and more in line with empirical evidence on second IPOs. Results provide support to the conclusion that privatization IPOs tend to be less underpriced than standard IPOs and that firms coming back to the market for a second IPO tend to be less underpriced than pure IPOs and provide a good rating for the performance of the Portuguese Republic pricing stocks in the Portuguese privatization program.

scholarly journals Short-run price performance of IPOs and corporate governance practices: Evidence from a frontier market

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
SMRK Samarakoon ◽  
KLW Perera
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sri Lankan ◽  
Governance System ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
Governance Practices ◽  
Short Run

The short-run price performance of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) indicates that the prices are often underpriced which is widely documented as a universal phenomenon. Corporate governance refers to the set of systems, principles and processes by which a company is governed. Establishing good corporate governance system in an IPO company makes good decisions which attract more outside investors. Therefore, this study examines whether there is any impact of corporate governance practices on short-run price performance of Sri Lankan IPOs. Study examined 44 fixed price IPOs which were listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) during the period of 2003 – January to 2015- December. The study found that Sri Lankan IPOs underprice by 30% on AR, which is statistically significant at 5% level. Further, it found that block holder ownership (ownership concentration), CEO duality and existence of the non-executive directors in the board are positively related to the short-run underpricing, which are statistically significant at 5%. But, the board size has a significant negative impact on underpricing. These relationships are in line with the international literature which confirms that the corporate governance practices have significant impact on short-run price performance of IPOs in Sri Lanka. These findings also support the agency and signaling theories.

scholarly journals Review of short-run performance of initial public offerings in Australia

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 188-200
Author(s):  
Lutfa Tilat Ferdous ◽  
Niroshani Parahara Withanalage ◽  
Abyan Amirah Qamaruz Zaman
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Secondary Markets ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Total Market

This study investigates the short-run performance of initial public offerings in Australia. Based on sources from the Morningstar DatAnalysis database, we analyzed 211 Australian publicly traded initial public offerings (IPO) listed on the Australian stock exchange between January 2011 and December 2015 using multiple regression analysis with dummies to represent industry and listing year. According to our analysis, total market return indicates an IPO underpricing phenomenon whereas secondary market shows an overpricing scenario. Moreover, this analysis supports the contention that short-run performance fluctuations were based on the listing year and industry settings. This study contributes to the literature by analysing the short-run performance of both the primary and secondary markets

Long-Run IPO Performance Analysis of German and Spanish Family-Owned Businesses

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 179-202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Jaskiewicz ◽  
Víctor M. González ◽  
Susana Menéndez ◽  
Dirk Schiereck
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Family Involvement ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Ipo Performance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Performance

This article examines the long-run stock market performance of German and Spanish initial public offerings (IPOs) between 1990 and 2000. We distinguish between family-and nonfamily-owned business IPOs by using the power subscale of the F-PEC. Buy-and-hold-abnormal returns (BHAR) are calculated in order to determine abnormal returns. Our results show that three years after going public, investors, on average, realized an abnormal return of − 32.8% for German and − 36.7% for Spanish IPOs. In both countries, nonfamily business IPOs perform insignificantly better. Regression analyses show that for the whole sample there is a positive company size effect. In family-owned businesses, strong family involvement has a positive impact on the long-run stock market performance, whereas the age of the firm has a negative influence.

Thanks, neighbor! Stock market experience around significant European tax cuts

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Huabing Wang ◽  
Anne Macy
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
The Other ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Corporate Tax ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Tax Cuts

PurposeThis paper analyzes the effect of corporate tax cuts on the competitiveness of the tax-cutting countries and neighbor countries.Design/methodology/approachThis study utilizes four significant corporate tax reforms among the OECD countries in Europe that offer a one-time tax cut of 6% or more. The short-term event study approach examines the stock index reactions for both the tax-cutting countries and the other countries. Multivariate fixed-effect regressions are employed to study the cross-sectional variations in the non-tax-cut countries.FindingsThis paper finds positive excess returns for Slovakia and Germany around the tax-cut passage. Multivariate analysis of stock market reactions of the non-tax-cutting countries reveals some evidence supporting both the positive spillover effect and the negative competitive loss effect. More advanced countries are more likely to experience higher abnormal returns, while higher tax countries are more likely to suffer lower abnormal returns. Other factors identified that might have influenced the effect of a foreign tax cut include the existing trade flows with the tax-cutting countries, whether the country has a common currency and the export orientation of the economy.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings are subject to sample-size issues. The lack of results for the other two countries is due to complicating events, as suggested by the further investigation of concurrent news events around the event days.Practical implicationsThe simultaneous analysis of the reform countries and the other countries in the region suggests that policymakers need to consider the relative positioning of their country vs the other countries in terms of economic development and current tax burdens when determining the optimal policy for their country or to respond to the tax policy changes in the other countries.Originality/valueThis study offers empirical evidence regarding the effect of corporate tax changes on competitiveness through the lens of stock markets' reactions, which depend on the net results of the spillover gain vs the competitive loss.

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