scholarly journals ITERATED FAILURE RATE MONOTONICITY AND ORDERING RELATIONS WITHIN GAMMA AND WEIBULL DISTRIBUTIONS

2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Idir Arab ◽  
Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Stochastic ordering of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual verification of stochastic orderings is not simple, as this depends on inverting distribution functions for which there may be no explicit expression. The iterative definition of distributions, of course, contributes to make that verification even harder. We have a look at the stochastic ordering, introducing a method that allows for explicit usage, applying it to the Gamma and Weibull distributions, giving a complete description of the order of relations within each of these families.

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 981
Author(s):  
Patricia Ortega-Jiménez ◽  
Miguel A. Sordo ◽  
Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

The aim of this paper is twofold. First, we show that the expectation of the absolute value of the difference between two copies, not necessarily independent, of a random variable is a measure of its variability in the sense of Bickel and Lehmann (1979). Moreover, if the two copies are negatively dependent through stochastic ordering, this measure is subadditive. The second purpose of this paper is to provide sufficient conditions for comparing several distances between pairs of random variables (with possibly different distribution functions) in terms of various stochastic orderings. Applications in actuarial and financial risk management are given.


2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 329-343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emilio De Santis ◽  
Fabio Fantozzi ◽  
Fabio Spizzichino

The concept of stochastic precedence between two real-valued random variables has often emerged in different applied frameworks. In this paper, we analyze several aspects of a more general, and completely natural, concept of stochastic precedence that also had appeared in the literature. In particular, we study the relations with the notions of stochastic ordering. Such a study leads us to introducing some special classes of bivariate copulas. Motivations for our study can arise from different fields. In particular, we consider the frame of Target-Based Approach in decisions under risk. This approach has been mainly developed under the assumption of stochastic independence between “Prospects” and “Targets”. Our analysis concerns the case of stochastic dependence.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvana M. Pesenti ◽  
Pietro Millossovich ◽  
Andreas Tsanakas

AbstractOne of risk measures’ key purposes is to consistently rank and distinguish between different risk profiles. From a practical perspective, a risk measure should also be robust, that is, insensitive to small perturbations in input assumptions. It is known in the literature [14, 39], that strong assumptions on the risk measure’s ability to distinguish between risks may lead to a lack of robustness. We address the trade-off between robustness and consistent risk ranking by specifying the regions in the space of distribution functions, where law-invariant convex risk measures are indeed robust. Examples include the set of random variables with bounded second moment and those that are less volatile (in convex order) than random variables in a given uniformly integrable set. Typically, a risk measure is evaluated on the output of an aggregation function defined on a set of random input vectors. Extending the definition of robustness to this setting, we find that law-invariant convex risk measures are robust for any aggregation function that satisfies a linear growth condition in the tail, provided that the set of possible marginals is uniformly integrable. Thus, we obtain that all law-invariant convex risk measures possess the aggregation-robustness property introduced by [26] and further studied by [40]. This is in contrast to the widely-used, non-convex, risk measure Value-at-Risk, whose robustness in a risk aggregation context requires restricting the possible dependence structures of the input vectors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 52 (2) ◽  
pp. 563-587
Author(s):  
Idir Arab ◽  
Milto Hadjikyriakou ◽  
Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

AbstractWe study failure rate monotonicity and generalised convex transform stochastic ordering properties of random variables, with an emphasis on applications. We are especially interested in the effect of a tail-weight iteration procedure to define distributions, which is equivalent to the characterisation of moments of the residual lifetime at a given instant. For the monotonicity properties, we are mainly concerned with hereditary properties with respect to the iteration procedure providing counterexamples showing either that the hereditary property does not hold or that inverse implications are not true. For the stochastic ordering, we introduce a new criterion, based on the analysis of the sign variation of a suitable function. This criterion is then applied to prove ageing properties of parallel systems formed with components that have exponentially distributed lifetimes.


Author(s):  
Elena Rogova ◽  
Gabriel Lodewijks ◽  
Mary Ann Lundteigen

Most analytical formulas developed for the PFD and PFH calculation assume a constant failure rate. This assumption does not necessarily hold for system components that are affected by wear. This article presents methods of analytical calculations of PFD and PFH for an M-out-of-N redundancy architecture with nonconstant failure rates and demonstrates its application in a simple case study. The method for PFD calculation is based on the ratio between cumulative distribution functions and includes forecasting of PFD values with a possibility of update of failure rate function. The approach for the PFH calculation is based on simplified formulas and the definition of PFH. In both methods, a Weibull distribution is used for characteristics of the system behavior. The PFD and PFH values are obtained for low, moderate and high degradation effects and compared with the results of exact calculations. Presented analytical formulas are a useful contribution to the reliability assessment of M-out-of-N systems.


Author(s):  
Alireza Rezvanian ◽  
Mohammad Reza Meybodi

Because of unpredictable, uncertain and time-varying nature of real networks it seems that stochastic graphs, in which weights associated to the edges are random variables, may be a better candidate as a graph model for real world networks. Once the graph model is chosen to be a stochastic graph, every feature of the graph such as path, clique, spanning tree and dominating set, to mention a few, should be treated as a stochastic feature. For example, choosing stochastic graph as the graph model of an online social network and defining community structure in terms of clique, and the associations among the individuals within the community as random variables, the concept of stochastic clique may be used to study community structure properties. In this paper maximum clique in stochastic graph is first defined and then several learning automata-based algorithms are proposed for solving maximum clique problem in stochastic graph where the probability distribution functions of the weights associated with the edges of the graph are unknown. It is shown that by a proper choice of the parameters of the proposed algorithms, one can make the probability of finding maximum clique in stochastic graph as close to unity as possible. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithms significantly reduce the number of samples needed to be taken from the edges of the stochastic graph as compared to the number of samples needed by standard sampling method at a given confidence level.


Author(s):  
M. XIE ◽  
O. GAUDOIN ◽  
C. BRACQUEMOND

For discrete distribution with reliability function R(k), k = 1, 2,…,[R(k - 1) - R(k)]/R(k - 1) has been used as the definition of the failure rate function in the literature. However, this is different from that of the continuous case. This discrete version has the interpretation of a probability while it is known that a failure rate is not a probability in the continuous case. This discrete failure rate is bounded, and hence cannot be convex, e.g., it cannot grow linearly. It is not additive for series system while the additivity for series system is a common understanding in practice. In the paper, another definition of discrete failure rate function as In[R(k - 1)/R(k)] is introduced, and the above-mentioned problems are resolved. On the other hand, it is shown that the two failure rate definitions have the same monotonicity property. That is, if one is increasing/decreasing, the other is also increasing/decreasing. For other aging concepts, the new failure rate definition is more appropriate. The failure rate functions according to this definition are given for a number of useful discrete reliability functions.


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