APPROXIMATION OF THE TAIL PROBABILITIES FOR BIDIMENSIONAL RANDOMLY WEIGHTED SUMS WITH DEPENDENT COMPONENTS

2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-130
Author(s):  
Xinmei Shen ◽  
Mingyue Ge ◽  
Ke-Ang Fu

AbstractLet $\left\{ {{\bi X}_k = {(X_{1,k},X_{2,k})}^{\top}, k \ge 1} \right\}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors whose components are allowed to be generally dependent with marginal distributions being from the class of extended regular variation, and let $\left\{ {{\brTheta} _k = {(\Theta _{1,k},\Theta _{2,k})}^{\top}, k \ge 1} \right\}$ be a sequence of nonnegative random vectors that is independent of $\left\{ {{\bi X}_k, k \ge 1} \right\}$. Under several mild assumptions, some simple asymptotic formulae of the tail probabilities for the bidimensional randomly weighted sums $\left( {\sum\nolimits_{k = 1}^n {\Theta _{1,k}} X_{1,k},\sum\nolimits_{k = 1}^n {\Theta _{2,k}} X_{2,k}} \right)^{\rm \top }$ and their maxima $({{\max} _{1 \le i \le n}}\sum\nolimits_{k = 1}^i {\Theta _{1,k}} X_{1,k},{{\max} _{1 \le i \le n}}\sum\nolimits_{k = 1}^i {\Theta _{2,k}} X_{2,k})^{\rm \top }$ are established. Moreover, uniformity of the estimate can be achieved under some technical moment conditions on $\left\{ {{\brTheta} _k, k \ge 1} \right\}$. Direct applications of the results to risk analysis are proposed, with two types of ruin probability for a discrete-time bidimensional risk model being evaluated.

Filomat ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 1879-1888
Author(s):  
Yishan Gong ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Jiajun Liu

This paper considers the randomly weighted sums generated by some dependent subexponential primary random variables and some arbitrarily dependent random weights. To study the randomly weighted sums with infinitely many terms, we establish a Kesten-type upper bound for their tail probabilities in presence of subexponential primary random variables and under a certain dependence among them. Our result extends the study of Chen [5] to the dependent case. As applications, we derive some asymptotic formulas for the tail probability and the Value-at-Risk of total aggregate loss in a multivariate operational risk cell model.


2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 573-588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enkelejd Hashorva ◽  
Jinzhu Li

This paper focuses on a discrete-time risk model in which both insurance risk and financial risk are taken into account. We study the asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability and the tail probability of the aggregate risk amount. Precise asymptotic formulas are derived under weak moment conditions of involved risks. The main novelty of our results lies in the quantification of the impact of the financial risk.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
Yang Yang ◽  
Jun-feng Liu ◽  
Yu-lin Zhang

We investigate the tailed asymptotic behavior of the randomly weighted sums with increments with convolution-equivalent distributions. Our obtained result can be directly applied to a discrete-time insurance risk model with insurance and financial risks and derive the asymptotics for the finite-time probability of the above risk model.


2015 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 367-379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrius Grigutis ◽  
Agneška Korvel ◽  
Jonas Šiaulys

In this work,  we investigate a  multi-risk model describing insurance business with  two or more independent series of claim amounts. Each series of claim amounts consists of independent nonnegative random variables. Claims of each series occur periodically with some fixed   inter-arrival time. Claim amounts occur until they   can be compensated by a common premium rate and the initial insurer's surplus.  In this article, wederive a recursive formula for calculation of finite-time ruin probabilities. In the case of bi-risk model, we present a procedure to calculate the ultimate ruin probability. We add several numerical examples illustrating application  of the derived formulas.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5755/j01.itc.44.4.8635


2010 ◽  
Vol 51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugenija Bieliauskienė ◽  
Jonas Šiaulys

The article deals with the classical discrete-time risk model with non-identically distributed claims. The recursive formula of infinite time ruin probability is obtained, which enables to evaluate the probability to ruin with desired accuracy.


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