Two-stage path analysis with definition variables: An alternative framework to account for measurement error.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark H. C. Lai ◽  
Yu-Yu Hsiao
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dalton J. Hance ◽  
Katie M. Moriarty ◽  
Bruce A. Hollen ◽  
Russell W. Perry

Abstract Background Studies of animal movement using location data are often faced with two challenges. First, time series of animal locations are likely to arise from multiple behavioral states (e.g., directed movement, resting) that cannot be observed directly. Second, location data can be affected by measurement error, including failed location fixes. Simultaneously addressing both problems in a single statistical model is analytically and computationally challenging. To both separate behavioral states and account for measurement error, we used a two-stage modeling approach to identify resting locations of fishers (Pekania pennanti) based on GPS and accelerometer data. Methods We developed a two-stage modelling approach to estimate when and where GPS-collared fishers were resting for 21 separate collar deployments on 9 individuals in southern Oregon. For each deployment, we first fit independent hidden Markov models (HMMs) to the time series of accelerometer-derived activity measurements and apparent step lengths to identify periods of movement and resting. Treating the state assignments as given, we next fit a set of linear Gaussian state space models (SSMs) to estimate the location of each resting event. Results Parameter estimates were similar across collar deployments. The HMMs successfully identified periods of resting and movement with posterior state assignment probabilities greater than 0.95 for 97% of all observations. On average, fishers were in the resting state 63% of the time. Rest events averaged 5 h (4.3 SD) and occurred most often at night. The SSMs allowed us to estimate the 95% credible ellipses with a median area of 0.12 ha for 3772 unique rest events. We identified 1176 geographically distinct rest locations; 13% of locations were used on > 1 occasion and 5% were used by > 1 fisher. Females and males traveled an average of 6.7 (3.5 SD) and 7.7 (6.8 SD) km/day, respectively. Conclusions We demonstrated that if auxiliary data are available (e.g., accelerometer data), a two-stage approach can successfully resolve both problems of latent behavioral states and GPS measurement error. Our relatively simple two-stage method is repeatable, computationally efficient, and yields directly interpretable estimates of resting site locations that can be used to guide conservation decisions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dalton J. Hance ◽  
Katie M. Moriarty ◽  
Bruce A. Hollen ◽  
Russell W. Perry

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via the original article.


2013 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 501-517 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam A. Szpiro ◽  
Christopher J. Paciorek

2006 ◽  
Vol 25 (21) ◽  
pp. 3632-3647 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byron J. Gajewski ◽  
Robert Lee ◽  
Sarah Thompson ◽  
Nancy Dunton ◽  
Annette Becker ◽  
...  

1990 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 57-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald Philip Green

Two-stage least squares (2SLS) is a statistical procedure that is used to correct for simultaneity bias and errors in variables. When applied to certain kinds of models, however, 2SLS is itself susceptible to bias as a result of random and nonrandom measurement error in the data. Using data from the 1980 Center for Political Studies panel, I show how different assumptions about measurement error produce radically different impressions about the reciprocal relationship between party identification and presidential performance evaluations.


Author(s):  
A. Kyriazis ◽  
K. Mathioudakis

A method for gas turbine fault identification from gas path data, in situations with a limited number of measurements, is presented. The method consists of a two stage process: (a) localization of the component or group of components with a fault and (b) fault identification by determining the precise location and magnitude of component performance deviations. The paper focuses on methods that allow improved localization of the faulty components. Gas path analysis (GPA) algorithms are applied to diagnostic sets comprising different combinations of engine components. The results are used to derive fault probabilities, which are then fused to derive a conclusion as to the location of a fault. Once the set of possible faulty components is determined, a well defined diagnostic problem is formulated and the faulty parameters are determined by means of a suitable algorithm. It is demonstrated that the method has an improved effectiveness when compared with previous GPA based methods.


Author(s):  
A. Kyriazis ◽  
K. Mathioudakis

A method for gas turbine fault identification from gas path data, in situations with a limited number of measurements, is presented. The method consists of a two stage process: (a) localization of the component or group of components where the fault is located and (b) fault identification, by determining the precise location and magnitude of component performance deviations. The paper focuses on methods that allow improved localization of the faulty components. Gas path analysis algorithms are applied to diagnostic sets comprising different combinations of engine components. The results are used to derive fault probabilities, which are then fused to derive a conclusion as to the location of a fault. Once the set of possible faulty components is determined, a well defined diagnostic problem is formulated and the faulty parameters are determined by means of a suitable algorithm. It is demonstrated that the method has an improved effectiveness when compared to previous GPA based methods.


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