Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in the United States during the 2015–2016 Season

Abstract Background Influenza causes significant morbidity and mortality and stresses hospital resources during periods of increased circulation. We evaluated the effectiveness of the 2019-2020 influenza vaccine against influenza-associated hospitalizations in the United States. Methods We included adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness at 14 hospitals and tested for influenza viruses by reserve transcription polymerase chain reaction. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated by comparing the odds of current-season influenza vaccination in test-positive influenza cases versus test-negative controls, adjusting for confounders. VE was stratified by age and major circulating influenza types along with A(H1N1)pdm09 genetic subgroups. Results 3116 participants were included, including 18% (553) influenza-positive cases. Median age was 63 years. Sixty-seven percent (2079) received vaccination. Overall adjusted VE against influenza viruses was 41% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27-52). VE against A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses was 40% (95% CI: 24-53) and 33% against B viruses (95% CI: 0-56). Of the two major A(H1N1)pdm09 subgroups (representing 90% of sequenced H1N1 viruses), VE against one group (5A+187A,189E) was 59% (95% CI: 34-75) whereas no significant VE was observed against the other group (5A+156K) [-1%, 95% CI: -61-37]. Conclusions In a primarily older population, influenza vaccination was associated with a 41% reduction in risk of hospitalized influenza illness.

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Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in the United States During the 2016–2017 Season

Open Forum Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/ofid/ofx163.1151 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 4 (suppl_1) ◽

pp. S451-S452

Author(s):

Brendan Flannery ◽

Jessie Chung ◽

Arnold S Monto ◽

Emily T Martin ◽

Edward Belongia ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Influenza Vaccine ◽

The United States ◽

Vaccine Effectiveness

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Influenza vaccine effectiveness among patients with high-risk medical conditions in the United States, 2012–2016

Vaccine ◽

10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.10.093 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 36 (52) ◽

pp. 8047-8053 ◽

Cited By ~ 9

Author(s):

Mei Shang ◽

Jessie R. Chung ◽

Michael L. Jackson ◽

Lisa A. Jackson ◽

Arnold S. Monto ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

High Risk ◽

Influenza Vaccine ◽

The United States ◽

Vaccine Effectiveness ◽

Medical Conditions

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150. Relative Effectiveness of High-Dose and Standard-Dose Influenza Vaccine Against Influenza-Related Hospitalization Among Older Adults—United States, 2015–2017

Open Forum Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/ofid/ofy209.020 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 5 (suppl_1) ◽

pp. S10-S10

Author(s):

Joshua Doyle ◽

Lauren Beacham ◽

Elif Alyanak ◽

Manjusha Gaglani ◽

Emily T Martin ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Older Adults ◽

Influenza Vaccine ◽

Influenza A ◽

Standard Dose ◽

Relative Effectiveness ◽

The United States ◽

Vaccine Effectiveness ◽

High Dose ◽

Research Grant

Abstract Background Seasonal influenza causes substantial morbidity and mortality, and older adults are disproportionately affected. Newer vaccines have been developed for use in people 65 years and older, including a trivalent inactivated vaccine with a 4-fold higher dose of antigen (IIV-HD). In recent years, the use of IIV-HD has increased sufficiently to evaluate its effectiveness compared with standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccines (IIV-SD). Methods Hospitalized patients with acute respiratory illness were enrolled in an observational vaccine effectiveness study at 8 hospitals in 4 states participating in the United States Hospitalized Adult Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network during the 2015–2016 and 2016–2017 influenza seasons. Predominant influenza A virus subtypes were H1N1 and H3N2, respectively, during these seasons. All enrolled patients were tested for influenza virus with polymerase chain reaction. Receipt and type of influenza vaccine was determined from electronic records and chart review. Odds of laboratory-confirmed influenza were compared among vaccinated and unvaccinated patients. Relative odds of laboratory-confirmed influenza were determined for patients who received IIV-HD or IIV-SD, and adjusted for potential confounding variables via logistic regression. Results Among 1,744 enrolled patients aged ≥ 65 years, 1,105 (63%) were vaccinated; among those vaccinated, 621 (56%) received IIV-HD and 484 (44%) received IIV-SD. Overall, 315 (18%) tested positive for influenza, including 97 (6%) who received IIV-HD, 86 (5%) who received IIV-SD, and 132 (8%) who were unvaccinated. Controlling for age, race, sex, enrollment site, date of illness, index of comorbidity, and influenza season, the adjusted odds of influenza among patients vaccinated with IIV-HD vs. IIV-SD were 0.72 (P = 0.06, 95% CI: 0.52 to 1.01). Conclusion Comparison of high-dose vs. standard-dose vaccine effectiveness during 2 recent influenza seasons (1 H1N1 and 1 H3N2-predominant) suggested relative benefit (nonsignificant) of high-dose influenza vaccine in protecting against influenza-associated hospitalization among persons aged 65 years and older; additional years of data are needed to confirm this finding. Disclosures H. K. Talbot, sanofi pasteur: Investigator, Research grant. Gilead: Investigator, Research grant. MedImmune: Investigator, Research grant. Vaxinnate: Safety Board, none. Seqirus: Safety Board, none.

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Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in the United States During the 2016–2017 Season

Clinical Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/cid/ciy775 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 68 (11) ◽

pp. 1798-1806 ◽

Cited By ~ 34

Author(s):

Brendan Flannery ◽

Jessie R Chung ◽

Arnold S Monto ◽

Emily T Martin ◽

Edward A Belongia ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Influenza Vaccine ◽

The United States ◽

Vaccine Effectiveness

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Effects of Influenza Vaccination in the United States During the 2018–2019 Influenza Season

Clinical Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/cid/ciz1244 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 71 (8) ◽

pp. e368-e376 ◽

Cited By ~ 7

Author(s):

Jessie R Chung ◽

Melissa A Rolfes ◽

Brendan Flannery ◽

Pragati Prasad ◽

Alissa O’Halloran ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Influenza Vaccine ◽

Influenza Vaccination ◽

Influenza Season ◽

The United States ◽

Vaccine Effectiveness ◽

Influenza Viruses ◽

Monte Carlo Algorithm ◽

Medical Visits ◽

The Us

Abstract Background Multivalent influenza vaccine products provide protection against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2), and B lineage viruses. The 2018–2019 influenza season in the United States included prolonged circulation of A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses well-matched to the vaccine strain and A(H3N2) viruses, the majority of which were mismatched to the vaccine. We estimated the number of vaccine-prevented influenza-associated illnesses, medical visits, hospitalizations, and deaths for the season. Methods We used a mathematical model and Monte Carlo algorithm to estimate numbers and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) of influenza-associated outcomes prevented by vaccination in the United States. The model incorporated age-specific estimates of national 2018–2019 influenza vaccine coverage, influenza virus–specific vaccine effectiveness from the US Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network, and disease burden estimated from population-based rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations through the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network. Results Influenza vaccination prevented an estimated 4.4 million (95%UI, 3.4 million–7.1 million) illnesses, 2.3 million (95%UI, 1.8 million–3.8 million) medical visits, 58 000 (95%UI, 30 000–156 000) hospitalizations, and 3500 (95%UI, 1000–13 000) deaths due to influenza viruses during the US 2018–2019 influenza season. Vaccination prevented 14% of projected hospitalizations associated with A(H1N1)pdm09 overall and 43% among children aged 6 months–4 years. Conclusions Influenza vaccination averted substantial influenza-associated disease including hospitalizations and deaths in the United States, primarily due to effectiveness against A(H1N1)pdm09. Our findings underscore the value of influenza vaccination, highlighting that vaccines measurably decrease illness and associated healthcare utilization even in a season in which a vaccine component does not match to a circulating virus.

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Relative and Absolute Effectiveness of High-Dose and Standard-Dose Influenza Vaccine Against Influenza-Related Hospitalization Among Older Adults—United States, 2015–2017

Clinical Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1093/cid/ciaa160 ◽

2020 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Joshua D Doyle ◽

Lauren Beacham ◽

Emily T Martin ◽

H Keipp Talbot ◽

Arnold Monto ◽

...

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Older Adults ◽

Influenza Vaccine ◽

Standard Dose ◽

Relative Effectiveness ◽

Respiratory Illness ◽

The United States ◽

Vaccine Effectiveness ◽

High Dose ◽

Confounding Variables

Abstract Background Seasonal influenza causes substantial morbidity and mortality in older adults. High-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (HD-IIV), with increased antigen content compared to standard-dose influenza vaccines (SD-IIV), is licensed for use in people aged ≥65 years. We sought to evaluate the effectiveness of HD-IIV and SD-IIV for prevention of influenza-associated hospitalizations. Methods Hospitalized patients with acute respiratory illness were enrolled in an observational vaccine effectiveness study at 8 hospitals in the United States Hospitalized Adult Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network during the 2015–2016 and 2016–2017 influenza seasons. Enrolled patients were tested for influenza, and receipt of influenza vaccine by type was recorded. Effectiveness of SD-IIV and HD-IIV was estimated using a test-negative design (comparing odds of influenza among vaccinated and unvaccinated patients). Relative effectiveness of SD-IIV and HD-IIV was estimated using logistic regression. Results Among 1487 enrolled patients aged ≥65 years, 1107 (74%) were vaccinated; 622 (56%) received HD-IIV, and 485 (44%) received SD-IIV. Overall, 277 (19%) tested positive for influenza, including 98 (16%) who received HD-IIV, 87 (18%) who received SD-IIV, and 92 (24%) who were unvaccinated. After adjusting for confounding variables, effectiveness of SD-IIV was 6% (95% confidence interval [CI] −42%, 38%) and that of HD-IIV was 32% (95% CI −3%, 54%), for a relative effectiveness of HD-IIV versus SD-IIV of 27% (95% CI −1%, 48%). Conclusions During 2 US influenza seasons, vaccine effectiveness was low to moderate for prevention of influenza hospitalization among adults aged ≥65 years. High-dose vaccine offered greater effectiveness. None of these findings were statistically significant.

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Successes and failures of the live-attenuated influenza vaccine, can we do better?

10.1101/424275 ◽

2018 ◽

Author(s):

Laura Matrajt ◽

M. Elizabeth Halloran ◽

Rustom Antia

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Influenza Vaccine ◽

Mathematical Models ◽

Viral Infections ◽

Influenza Season ◽

The United States ◽

Vaccine Effectiveness ◽

Effective Protection ◽

Live Attenuated Vaccines ◽

Live Attenuated Influenza Vaccine

Live-attenuated vaccines are usually highly effective against many acute viral infections. However, the effective- ness of the live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) can vary widely, ranging from 0% effectiveness in some studies done in the United States to 50% in studies done in Europe. The reasons for these discrepancies remain largely unclear. In this paper we use mathematical models to explore how the efficacy of LAIV is affected by the degree of mismatch with the currently circulating influenza strain and interference with pre-existing immunity. The model incorporates two key antigenic distances - the distance between pre-existing immunity and the currently circulating strain as well as the LAIV strain. Our models show that a LAIV that is matched with the currently circulating strain is likely to have only modest efficacy. Our results suggest that the efficacy of the vaccine would be increased (optimized) if, rather than being matched to the circulating strain, it is antigenically slightly further from pre-existing immunity compared with the circulating strain. The models also suggest two regimes in which LAIV that is matched to circulating strains may provide effective protection. The first is in children before they have built immunity from circulating strains. The second is in response to novel strains (such as antigenic shifts) which are at substantial antigenic distance from previously circulating strains. Our models provide an explanation for the variation in vaccine effectiveness, both between children and adults as well as between studies of vaccine effectiveness observed during the 2014-15 influenza season in different countries.

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