Disaggregating Variability in Projected Benefits of Transit State of Good Repair Due to Uncertainty of Travel Demand Forecasts

2021 ◽  
Vol 147 (11) ◽  
pp. 04021081
Author(s):  
Yuxuan “Norman” Wang ◽  
Andre L. Carrel ◽  
William Robert
2015 ◽  
Vol 37 ◽  
pp. 57-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Morten Skou Nicolaisen ◽  
Petter Næss

2013 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 209-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nobuhiro Sanko ◽  
Takayuki Morikawa ◽  
Yoshitaka Nagamatsu

1998 ◽  
Vol 49 (7) ◽  
pp. 717-722 ◽  
Author(s):  
M C M de Carvalho ◽  
M S Dougherty ◽  
A S Fowkes ◽  
M R Wardman

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-84
Author(s):  
Jin Ki Eom ◽  
Kwang-Sub Lee ◽  
Ho-Chan Kwak ◽  
Ji Young Song ◽  
Myeong-Eon Seong

2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Djoko Prijo Utomo

In consequence of the increasing of regional economic activities in Pulau Batam, a reliable transportation system is required. Decreasing road network performance as a result of increasing traffic volume needs a strategic planning to anticipate the worsening condition in the future. One of the solutions is by providing mass transit system which is expected to attract private car users. Therefore, determination of potential corridor of mass transit system need to be identified so that the system provide better accessibility. Trip pattern in Pulau Batam must be known by developing trip distribution model. The trip distribution model is calibrated using origin-destination (O-D) data that is based on home interview survey. The validated model will be used to forecast and simulate travel demand onto transport network. Result of model calibration process shows mean trip length difference between model and survey is equal 0.141 %. From simulation of trip assignment is obtained that potential corridor for mass transit system using LRT is Batu Ampar – Batu Aji via Muka Kuning. Passenger forecast in the year 2030 is 193,990 passenger/day (2 directions).


2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rusmadi Suyuti

Traffic information condition is a very useful  information for road user because road user can choose his best route for each trip from his origin to his destination. The final goal for this research is to develop real time traffic information system for road user using real time traffic volume. Main input for developing real time traffic information system is an origin-destination (O-D) matrix to represent the travel pattern. However, O-D matrices obtained through a large scale survey such as home or road side interviews, tend to be costly, labour intensive and time disruptive to trip makers. Therefore, the alternative of using traffic counts to estimate O-D matrices is particularly attractive. Models of transport demand have been used for many years to synthesize O-D matrices in study areas. A typical example of the approach is the gravity model; its functional form, plus the appropriate values for the parameters involved, is employed to produce acceptable matrices representing trip making behaviour for many trip purposes and time periods. The work reported in this paper has combined the advantages of acceptable travel demand models with the low cost and availability of traffic counts. Two types of demand models have been used: gravity (GR) and gravity-opportunity (GO) models. Four estimation methods have been analysed and tested to calibrate the transport demand models from traffic counts, namely: Non-Linear-Least-Squares (NLLS), Maximum-Likelihood (ML), Maximum-Entropy (ME) and Bayes-Inference (BI). The Bandung’s Urban Traffic Movement survey has been used to test the developed method. Based on several statistical tests, the estimation methods are found to perform satisfactorily since each calibrated model reproduced the observed matrix fairly closely. The tests were carried out using two assignment techniques, all-or-nothing and equilibrium assignment.  


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document