Forecasts of the managed futures market – an empirical analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (39) ◽  
pp. 3723-3733
Author(s):  
Ewelina Sokołowska
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Futures Market ◽  
Managed Futures

Price Clustering in the Nikkei 225 Stock Index Futures Contract on the SIMEX: An Intraday Empirical Analysis

2000 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 519-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
Horace Chueh
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Futures Market ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Stock Index Futures ◽  
Index Futures ◽  
Futures Contract ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
Price Clustering ◽  
Bid Ask Spreads

Price clustering in financial markets has been identified by previous studies. However, few studies have examined the phenomenon in the futures market. This paper presents price clustering for the Nikkei 225 stock index futures contract on the SIMEX. An extremely low percentage of odd-tick trades appears at the opening for the first trading session, while moderately low percentage occurs at the opening and the closing for the second trading session. GARCH estimation results document that the degree of price clustering increases in the periods with high volatility, bid-ask spreads, and transaction frequency. Price clustering tends to occur on the last trading day which the futures contract is to be presented. Generally, the results support the negotiation hypothesis of price clustering proposed by Harris (1991).

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