Currency futures market in India: an empirical analysis of market efficiency and volatility

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Golak Nath ◽  
Manoel Pacheco
2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (69) ◽  
pp. 3-23
Author(s):  
Jeremías Lachman ◽  
Pablo Jack

This paper aims to study and compare the efficiency in futures markets for soybean crop between Buenos Aires (MATBA) and Chicago (CME–CBOT) for the years 1994 through 2015. There are numerous studies that analyze this phenomenon independently, but few of them have done a comparative analysis between marke- ts. Therefore, the main objective of this research — in addition to individually analyzing the efficiency in futures market in each country — is to be able to detect the existence of a relationship between the two markets. In this article we show that, in addition for market efficiency in all cases, market efficiency in MatBa was derived from the efficiency in CME–CBOT. This means that relevant information is transmitted from the Chicago market to the one in Buenos Aires. By using a cointegration approach based on Johansen (1995) we estimated the models with monthly and daily data.


2015 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 274-282
Author(s):  
Dhaneesh Kumar T.K. ◽  
Poornima B.G. ◽  
P.K. Sudarsan

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 581-597
Author(s):  
Varuna Kharbanda ◽  
Archana Singh

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to measure the effectiveness of the hedging with futures currency contracts. Measuring the effectiveness of hedging has become mandatory for Indian companies as the new Indian accounting standards, Ind-AS, specify that the effectiveness of hedges taken by the companies should be evaluated using quantitative methods but leaves it to the company to choose a method of evaluation. Design/methodology/approach The paper compares three models for evaluating the effectiveness of hedge – ordinary least square (OLS), vector error correction model (VECM) and dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH (DCC-MGARCH) model. The OLS and VECM are the static models, whereas DCC-MGARCH is a dynamic model. Findings The overall results of the study show that dynamic model (DCC-MGARCH) is a better model for calculating the hedge effectiveness as it outperforms OLS and VECM models. Practical implications The new Indian accounting standards (Ind-AS) mandates the calculation of hedge effectiveness. The results of this study are useful for the treasurers in identifying appropriate method for evaluation of hedge effectiveness. Similarly, policymakers and auditors are benefitted as the study provides clarity on different methods of evaluation of hedging effectiveness. Originality/value Many previous studies have evaluated the efficiency of the Indian currency futures market, but with rising importance of hedging in the Indian companies, Reserve Bank of India’s initiatives and encouragement for the use of futures for hedging the currency risk and now the mandatory accounting requirement for measuring hedging effectiveness, it has become more relevant to evaluate the effectiveness of hedge. To the authors’ best knowledge, this is one of the first few papers which evaluate the effectiveness of the currency future hedging.


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