A multi-layer Bayesian network method for supply chain disruption modelling in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic

Author(s):  
Seyedmohsen Hosseini ◽  
Dmitry Ivanov
Author(s):  
Nuramilawahida Mat Ropi ◽  
◽  
Hawa Hishamuddin ◽  
Dzuraidah Abd Wahab ◽  
◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Duong Tran Duc ◽  
Pham Bao Son ◽  
Tan Hanh ◽  
Le Truong Thien

Demographic attributes of customers such as gender, age, etc. provide the important information for e-commerce service providers in marketing, personalization of web applications. However, the online customers often do not provide this kind of information due to the privacy issues and other reasons. In this paper, we proposed a method for predicting the gender of customers based on their catalog viewing data on e-commerce systems, such as the date and time of access, the products viewed, etc. The main idea is that we extract the features from catalog viewing information and employ the classification methods to predict the gender of the viewers. The experiments were conducted on the datasets provided by the PAKDD’15 Data Mining Competition and obtained the promising results with a simple feature design, especially with the Bayesian Network method along with other supporting techniques such as resampling, cost-sensitive learning, boosting etc.


Author(s):  
Thomas A. De Vries ◽  
Gerben S. Van Der Vegt ◽  
Kirstin Scholten ◽  
Dirk Pieter Van Donk

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xingyu Li ◽  
Amin Ghadami ◽  
John M. Drake ◽  
Pejman Rohani ◽  
Bogdan I. Epureanu

AbstractThe pandemic of COVID-19 has become one of the greatest threats to human health, causing severe disruptions in the global supply chain, and compromising health care delivery worldwide. Although government authorities sought to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2, by restricting travel and in-person activities, failure to deploy time-sensitive strategies in ramping-up of critical resource production exacerbated the outbreak. Here, we developed a mathematical model to analyze the effects of the interaction between supply chain disruption and infectious disease dynamics using coupled production and disease networks built on global data. Analysis of the supply chain model suggests that time-sensitive containment strategies could be created to balance objectives in pandemic control and economic losses, leading to a spatiotemporal separation of infection peaks that alleviates the societal impact of the disease. A lean resource allocation strategy can reduce the impact of supply chain shortages from 11.91 to 1.11% in North America. Our model highlights the importance of cross-sectoral coordination and region-wise collaboration to optimally contain a pandemic and provides a framework that could advance the containment and model-based decision making for future pandemics.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document