The impact of parallel market exchange rate volatility and oil exports on real GDP in Syria: Evidence from the ARDL approach

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 333-349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zouhair Mrabet ◽  
Mouyad Alsamara
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 5
Author(s):  
Sa’ad Babatunde Akanbi ◽  
Halimah Adedayo Alagbe ◽  
Hammed Agboola Yusuf ◽  
Musibau Hammed Oluwaseyi

The adoption of a flexible exchange rate system since 1986 in Nigeria has made the country witnessed varying rate of the naira vis-à-vis the U.S dollar. This paper examines exchange rate volatility with ARCH model and its various extensions (GARCH, TGARCH, and EGARCH) using quarterly exchange rate series from 1986-Q1 to 2014-Q4.The impact of exchange rate volatility on non-oil exports was also examined using Error Correction Model (ECM) with two different measures of volatility. The results obtained confirm the existence of exchange rate volatility and also found a significant negative effect on non-oil export performance in Nigeria. Therefore, the Nigerian government should ensure an appropriate policy mix that not only ensures a stable and realistic exchange rate but also conducive atmosphere for production and exportation.


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