scholarly journals The evolution of central bank communication as experienced by the South Africa Reserve Bank

Author(s):  
Gideon du Rand ◽  
Ruan Erasmus ◽  
Hylton Hollander ◽  
Monique Reid ◽  
Dawie van Lill
Author(s):  
Arnold Segawa

The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) migrated to inflation targeting in 2000 and has since embarked on a trajectory of transparency. This has taken the shape of releasing Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) statements other forms of communication. This paper examines SARB’s MPC statements’ tone and sentiment between 2000 and 2021 using the Besigye-Segawa’s TextBlob polarity and subjectivity calculator which measures central bank communication tone and sentiment using the Loughran-McDonald dictionary’s word classification to gauge polarity and subjectivity. The study goes on to explore causality of SARB’s MPC statements’ tone and sentiment on inflation expectation results from the Bureau of Economic (BER) results survey. The systematic analysis shows a causality of SARB’s MPC statements’ tone and sentiment on succeeding BER’s inflation expectations results therein justifying the need for effective communication as SARB’s MPC communications’ polarity and subjectivity ultimately have a causal effect on inflation expectations. therein justifying the need for effective communication. As central bank tone and sentiment studies are only emerging in many emerging and frontier markets, this study lays a foundation for future exploration of effects of central bank communication on the expectations channel.


1987 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-34
Author(s):  
P. Styger ◽  
J. H.P. Van Heerden

The definition of personal savings: The South African situation 1965.1 to 1984.4 The personal savings definition and through that also the time series of personal savings in South Africa in common use, can be described as personal savings as published, amongst others, by the South African Reserve Bank. In the computation of the above time series there are certain deficiencies and the time series has been queried since the sixties. The objective of this study was to undertake an empirical study of the definition of personal savings in South Africa and through that also the time series of personal savings, and possibly to improve on these. It was indicated that the published personal savings cannot be regarded as a good definition of personal savings in South Africa. Various alternative personal savings definitions were studied critically and it was indicated that it would seem that long-term insurance premiums plus pension fund contributions (i.e. contractual personal savings) should constitute the personal savings definition for South Africa.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (4(J)) ◽  
pp. 88-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harris Maduku ◽  
Irrshad Kaseeram

We analyze the impact of inflation, growth and exchange rate on unemployment in South Africa using annual data spanning 1980- 2017. Using the ARDL methodology we find that there is a negative longrun relationship between inflation and unemployment in South Africa and inflation is significant in explaining unemployment. Other variables of interest, economic growth and exchange rate are also significant in explaining unemployment. We use the findings of our study to propose that the South African Reserve Bank(SARB) should consider revising its objectives so that they can consider getting involved in targeting unemployment so that they help nurse the economy from the wounds of high inequality and poverty. 


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