Fixed Width Confidence Interval ofP(X

2003 ◽  
Vol 22 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 75-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uttam Bandyopadhyay ◽  
Radhakanta Das ◽  
Atanu Biswas
2019 ◽  
Vol 71 (2) ◽  
pp. 113-120
Author(s):  
Uttam Bandyopadhyay ◽  
Pritam Sarkar

This article deals with purely and accelerated sequential sampling procedures to find fixed-width confidence interval of completely symmetric multivariate normal mean. Procedures are studied asymptotically and are evaluated numerically. AMS 2000 subject classification: 62F25 62H12


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2084
Author(s):  
Ali Yousef ◽  
Ayman A. Amin ◽  
Emad E. Hassan ◽  
Hosny I. Hamdy

In this paper we discuss the multistage sequential estimation of the variance of the Rayleigh distribution using the three-stage procedure that was presented by Hall (Ann. Stat. 9(6):1229–1238, 1981). Since the Rayleigh distribution variance is a linear function of the distribution scale parameter’s square, it suffices to estimate the Rayleigh distribution’s scale parameter’s square. We tackle two estimation problems: first, the minimum risk point estimation problem under a squared-error loss function plus linear sampling cost, and the second is a fixed-width confidence interval estimation, using a unified optimal stopping rule. Such an estimation cannot be performed using fixed-width classical procedures due to the non-existence of a fixed sample size that simultaneously achieves both estimation problems. We find all the asymptotic results that enhanced finding the three-stage regret as well as the three-stage fixed-width confidence interval for the desired parameter. The procedure attains asymptotic second-order efficiency and asymptotic consistency. A series of Monte Carlo simulations were conducted to study the procedure’s performance as the optimal sample size increases. We found that the simulation results agree with the asymptotic results.


1986 ◽  
Vol 35 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 67-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malay Ghosh ◽  
Dennis Wackerly

A sequential fixed-width confidence interval for the location parameter of a Pareto distribution with unknown shape parameter is developed. The procedure Is shown to be asymptotically consistent and asymptotically efficient in the sense of Chow and Robbins (1965).


Author(s):  
Zequn Wang ◽  
Pingfeng Wang

This paper presents a maximum confidence enhancement based sequential sampling approach for simulation-based design under uncertainty. In the proposed approach, the ordinary Kriging method is adopted to construct surrogate models for all constraints and thus Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is able to be used to estimate reliability and its sensitivity with respect to design variables. A cumulative confidence level is defined to quantify the accuracy of reliability estimation using MCS based on the Kriging models. To improve the efficiency of proposed approach, a maximum confidence enhancement based sequential sampling scheme is developed to update the Kriging models based on the maximum improvement of the defined cumulative confidence level, in which a sample that produces the largest improvement of the cumulative confidence level is selected to update the surrogate models. Moreover, a new design sensitivity estimation approach based upon constructed Kriging models is developed to estimate the reliability sensitivity information with respect to design variables without incurring any extra function evaluations. This enables to compute smooth sensitivity values and thus greatly enhances the efficiency and robustness of the design optimization process. Two case studies are used to demonstrate the proposed methodology.


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