Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change [with Comments]

2006 ◽  
Vol 2006 (1) ◽  
pp. 345-391
Author(s):  
Troy Davig ◽  
Eric M. Leeper ◽  
Richard H. Clarida ◽  
Jesper Lindé
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Regime Change ◽  
Policy Regime

Absence of price pressures checks central bank hawks

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Regime Change ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
Bank Of Canada ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Full Swing ◽  
The Impact ◽  
First Time

Subject The impact of persistently low inflation on the pace of monetary policy 'regime change' in most countries. Significance The US Federal Reserve (Fed) published the minutes of its June 14 interest rate-setting meeting on July 5, showing increasing divisions over the pace of tightening as inflation eases. The Fed remains committed to starting to shrink its 4.5-trillion-dollar balance sheet this year, but there are disagreements over the timing of both the unwinding and further rate hikes. Subdued inflation is also constraining the ECB’s plans to withdraw its monetary stimulus, despite speculation about a ‘regime change’ in monetary policy driving the yield on the benchmark 10-year Bund to its highest point since January 2016. Impacts The yield on 10-year US Treasuries has risen since June but remains below its mid-March level when ‘reflation trading’ was in full swing. Emerging market bond funds are vulnerable to tighter policy and suffered outflows for the first time this year in the week ending July 5. The average world oil price has fallen by more than 10% since May to below 50 dollars a barrel amid concerns of a supply glut. The Bank of Canada may raise rates for the first time in nearly seven years on July 12, while the Fed chair will testify before Congress.

Monetary policy and the effect of the transfer of oil prices to inflation

2020 ◽  
pp. 41-50
Author(s):  
Ph. S. Kartaev ◽  
I. D. Medvedev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Policy Regime ◽  
The Impact

The paper examines the impact of oil price shocks on inflation, as well as the impact of the choice of the monetary policy regime on the strength of this influence. We used dynamic models on panel data for the countries of the world for the period from 2000 to 2017. It is shown that mainly the impact of changes in oil prices on inflation is carried out through the channel of exchange rate. The paper demonstrates the influence of the transition to inflation targeting on the nature of the relationship between oil price shocks and inflation. This effect is asymmetrical: during periods of rising oil prices, inflation targeting reduces the effect of the transfer of oil prices, limiting negative effects of shock. During periods of decline in oil prices, this monetary policy regime, in contrast, contributes to a stronger transfer, helping to reduce inflation.

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