Abstract
Background
The Get with The Guidelines (GWTG) heart failure (HF) risk score was developed in the GWTG inpatient HF registry to predict in-hospital mortality and also reported to be associated with post-discharge long-term outcomes. Plasma volume (PV) expansion plays an essential role in HF. Recently, it has been reported that PV is estimated by a simple formula based on hematocrit and body weight, not using radioisotope assays, and PV status provides prognostic information in patients (pts) with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). However, there is no information available on the long-term prognostic value of the combination of PV status and GWTG-HF risk score in pts admitted for ADHF.
Methods and results
We studied 301 ADHF pts discharged with survival. Variables required for the GWTG-HF risk score were race, age, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, serum levels of blood urea nitrogen and sodium, and the presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. PV status was calculated as the following: Actual PV = (1 − hematocrit) x [a + (b x body weight)] (a=1530 in males and a=864 in females, b=41 in males and b=47.9 in females), Ideal PV = c x body weight (c=39 in males and c=40 in females), and PV status = [(actual PV − ideal PV)/ideal PV] x 100(%). During a follow-up period of 4.3±3.2 yrs, 95 pts had all-cause death (ACD). At multivariate Cox analysis, GWTG-HF risk score and PV status were significantly associated with the total mortality, independently of eGFR and the prior history of heart failure hospitalization, after the adjustment with serum albumin level and anemia. Pts with both high GWTG-HF risk score (≥39 by ROC analysis; AUC 0.655 [0.586–0.724]) and greater PV status (≥8.1% by ROC analysis; AUC 0.624 [0.566–0.692]) had a significantly higher risk of ACD than those with either or none of them (58% vs 30% vs 21%, p<0.0001, respectively).
Conclusion
PV status would provide the additional long-term prognostic information to GWTG-HF risk score in ADHF pts.
P922Model of end-stage liver disease excluding INR score provides additional prognostic information to the get with the guidelines-heart failure risk score in acute decompensated heart failure patients