Inescapable entrapments? The civil–military decision paths to Uruzgan and Helmand

2022 ◽  
Vol 98 (1) ◽  
pp. 333-335
Author(s):  
Paul Dixon
Keyword(s):  
2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (04) ◽  
pp. 6299-6306
Author(s):  
Yulong Wang ◽  
Xiaolu Zhang ◽  
Xiaolin Hu ◽  
Bo Zhang ◽  
Hang Su

Dynamic network pruning achieves runtime acceleration by dynamically determining the inference paths based on different inputs. However, previous methods directly generate continuous decision values for each weight channel, which cannot reflect a clear and interpretable pruning process. In this paper, we propose to explicitly model the discrete weight channel selections, which encourages more diverse weights utilization, and achieves more sparse runtime inference paths. Meanwhile, with the help of interpretable layerwise channel selections in the dynamic network, we can visualize the network decision paths explicitly for model interpretability. We observe that there are clear differences in the layerwise decisions between normal and adversarial examples. Therefore, we propose a novel adversarial example detection algorithm by discriminating the runtime decision features. Experiments show that our dynamic network achieves higher prediction accuracy under the similar computing budgets on CIFAR10 and ImageNet datasets compared to traditional static pruning methods and other dynamic pruning approaches. The proposed adversarial detection algorithm can significantly improve the state-of-the-art detection rate across multiple attacks, which provides an opportunity to build an interpretable and robust model.


2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-40
Author(s):  
Jerry Yuwen Shiu

This study explored a systematic framework to understand the dynamic relationships of individual rationality in spa hotel choice. Taking a relational perspective, we examined the process of net value perception linking the antecedents (i.e. quality, price and risk) and consequence (i.e. willingness to buy (WTB)), along with the moderating effects of demographic variables on the links. A survey was conducted at spa hotels in four major spa regions of Taiwan. The findings indicated that the immediate situational factors of quality and price contribute to the net value perception, which in turn leads to the WTB. Oppositely, the long-term factor of risk does not have either direct or indirect effect when making such an infrequent decision. The contrarily moderating effects of demographic variables (e.g. gender, living region and consumptive frequency) on the decision paths present managers with directions to offer proper packages to reach their target customers.


2012 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carol T. Kulik ◽  
Gerry Treuren ◽  
Prashant Bordia

2002 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina H. Drew ◽  
Timothy L. Nyerges ◽  
Kieran McCarthy ◽  
John A. Moore

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angelika Stefan ◽  
Nathan J. Evans ◽  
Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

The Bayesian statistical framework requires the specification of prior distributions, which reflect pre-data knowledge about the relative plausibility of different parameter values. As prior distributions influence the results of Bayesian analyses, it is important to specify them with care. Prior elicitation has frequently been proposed as a principled method for deriving prior distributions based on expert knowledge. Although prior elicitation provides a theoretically satisfactory method of specifying prior distributions, there are several implicit decisions that researchers need to make at different stages of the elicitation process, each of them constituting important researcher degrees of freedom. Here, we discuss some of these decisions and group them into three categories: decisions about (1) the setup of the prior elicitation; (2) the core elicitation process; and (3) combination of elicited prior distributions from different experts. Importantly, different decision paths could result in greatly varying priors elicited from the same experts. Hence, researchers who wish to perform prior elicitation are advised to carefully consider each of the practical decisions before, during, and after the elicitation process. By explicitly outlining the consequences of these practical decisions, we hope to raise awareness for methodological flexibility in prior elicitation and provide researchers with a more structured approach to navigate the decision paths in prior elicitation. Making the decisions explicit also provides the foundation for further research that can identify evidence-based best practices that may eventually reduce the methodologically flexibility in prior elicitation.


2010 ◽  
Vol 1 (27) ◽  
pp. 92-97
Author(s):  
K.Koteswara Rao ◽  
Srinivasan Nagaraj ◽  
G Appa Rao ◽  
M. Sumender Roy ◽  
Dr GSVP. Raju
Keyword(s):  

2004 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-277 ◽  
Author(s):  
NATALIE GOLD ◽  
CHRISTIAN LIST

A framing effect occurs when an agent's choices are not invariant under changes in the way a decision problem is presented, e.g. changes in the way options are described (violation of description invariance) or preferences are elicited (violation of procedure invariance). Here we identify those rationality violations that underlie framing effects. We attribute to the agent a sequential decision process in which a “target” proposition and several “background” propositions are considered. We suggest that the agent exhibits a framing effect if and only if two conditions are met. First, different presentations of the decision problem lead the agent to consider the propositions in a different order (the empirical condition). Second, different such “decision paths” lead to different decisions on the target proposition (the logical condition). The second condition holds when the agent's initial dispositions on the propositions are “implicitly inconsistent,” which may be caused by violations of “deductive closure.” Our account is consistent with some observations made by psychologists and provides a unified framework for explaining violations of description and procedure invariance.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document