Biophysical Settings that Influenced Plantation Survival During the 2015 Wildfires in Northern Rocky Mountain Moist Mixed-Conifer Forests
Abstract Fire suppression and the loss of western white pine (WWP) have made northern Rocky Mountain moist mixed-conifer forests less disturbance resilient. Although managers are installing hundreds of plantations, most of these plantations have not experienced wildfire since establishment. In 2015, wildfires burned through one hundred WWP plantations in this region, providing an opportunity to evaluate the effects of wildfires on sapling survival. A Weibull distribution approach was used to characterize the variation of fire severity pixels, as indicated by the differenced normalized burn ratio. The distribution parameters provided a method to identify the biophysical setting and plantation characteristics influencing fire severity and sapling survival. Plantations located on lower slope positions were more resistant to wildfires than plantations located midslope or close to the ridges. Snow water equivalent was positively correlated with wildfire resistance and resilience. Results will help focus reforestation efforts and identify locations where future plantations can potentially survive wildfires. Study Implications This study examined wildfire effects on western white pine plantations, with the intention to inform managers where to locate plantations that will be more resistant to wildfires and determine which plantations may require postfire reforestation. Plantations were more resilient and resistant to wildfires when they occurred on lower slopes, even when steep, indicating these places may be better suited for future plantations. Plantations located on upper slopes and ridges are vulnerable to wildfire even when located on moist habitat types and will likely need reforestation.