Japan may acquire pre-emptive strike capability

Significance On June 24, the National Security Council effectively withdrew the Aegis Ashore plan. Japan’s decision has important implications for its own national defence posture, the Japan-US alliance and the regional security situation. Impacts Salvaging the Aegis Ashore plan in some form is possible but unlikely; increasing Japan’s Aegis destroyer fleet is more likely. The capability to strike Chinese territory pre-emptively will exacerbate Beijing’s fears of Japanese militarism. Moves towards pre-emptive strike capability could reinvigorate Abe’s campaign to revise Japan’s ‘pacifist’ constitution.

Significance Former national security officials and Trump-sceptical Republican lawmakers praised McMaster's appointment as a much-needed stabilising influence on the National Security Council (NSC). Given Trump's lack of government experience, the NSC would be the prime vehicle for shepherding presidential orders through the levels of government, quashing bureaucratic battles between agencies, and helping Trump process and respond to national security crises. Impacts Trump favouring political supporters in policy matters is likely to lead to experienced officials resigning. The president may threaten a reorganisation of the intelligence community to reduce internal dissent. Taiwan, Iran, Russia, Iraq/Syria, and Israel-Palestinians policy seem likely areas of discord within Trump's governing team. The absence of trusted voices advocating restraint may lead the White House to overuse militarised responses to incidents overseas. White House efforts to quash bureaucratic leaks are likely to weaken the interagency process.


Significance President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared the SoE following a four-and-half-hour National Security Council meeting on July 20, five days after a failed coup. A countrywide SoE is a first. During the 1980s and 1990s, one was in force in the mainly Kurdish south-east. That was a bitter experience in which hundreds of people disappeared, and 'deep state' extra-judicial killings were an everyday occurrence. Impacts Abuses under cover of the SoE would confront Turkey directly with the Council of Europe and European Court of Human Rights. The government says it will be sensitive about economic freedoms, market functioning and continued investment. A bitter propaganda struggle for Western public opinion between Erdogan and the Gulenists is likely.


Significance He was referring to the National Security Council Act (NSCA), which came into effect on August 1 after being passed in December 2015 without express royal assent. The government says the legislation is necessary to protect Malaysia amid increasing concerns over terrorism, particularly by Islamic State group (ISG), but critics argue that it gives the prime minister arbitrary powers that could be abused. Impacts The government will use the NSCA regardless of civil society criticisms, making protests possible. International perceptions that the NSCA is being abused would cause diplomatic trouble for Malaysia. The NSCA's utility could be dampened if political use continues to be made of Islam, as is likely.


1985 ◽  
Vol 47 ◽  
pp. 3-4
Author(s):  
Douglas W. Simon

In the spring of 1981 I designed and taught what I considered, at the time, a "high risk" seminar for seventeen junior and senior political science majors. There were to be no textbooks, no lectures, no examinations and no term papers, those hallmarks of the traditional college course. Nevertheless, when the thirteen week course was over, the students were exhausted and claimed that they had never worked so hard in their college careers.The adventure that my students (and I) undertook was a semester long simulation of the United States National Security Council (NSC), dealing with actual global events as they happened. As Washington dealt with a problem, we dealt with the same problem. The simulation was initially offered during the deteriorating situation in Iran and instability in the Gulf region.


2005 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 657-690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles David

This article examines the performance of the U.S. National Security Council as a policy-making body vis-à-vis the southern African conflict under the Nixon and Ford Administrations. It discusses and verifies the hypothesis that the institutionalized System of the NSC gives the President a way of seriously improving his policies, by analyzing (within a structured and formalized framework) the range of options and alternatives, free of negative bureaucratic influences. Furthermore, it shows the impact that the presidential decisions had over the orientation of the southern African conflict from 1969 to 1976.


2020 ◽  
pp. 216-232
Author(s):  
Harvey M. Sapolsky ◽  
Eugene Gholz ◽  
Caitlin Talmadge

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document