scholarly journals Ensembles of Gradient Boosting Recurrent Neural Network for Time Series Data Prediction

IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Shiqing Sang ◽  
Fangfang Qu ◽  
Pengcheng Nie
Open Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 618-627
Author(s):  
Weixing Song ◽  
Jingjing Wu ◽  
Jianshe Kang ◽  
Jun Zhang

Abstract The aim of this study was to improve the low accuracy of equipment spare parts requirement predicting, which affects the quality and efficiency of maintenance support, based on the summary and analysis of the existing spare parts requirement predicting research. This article introduces the current latest popular long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithm which has the best effect on time series data processing to equipment spare parts requirement predicting, according to the time series characteristics of spare parts consumption data. A method for predicting the requirement for maintenance spare parts based on the LSTM recurrent neural network is proposed, and the network structure is designed in detail, the realization of network training and network prediction is given. The advantages of particle swarm algorithm are introduced to optimize the network parameters, and actual data of three types of equipment spare parts consumption are used for experiments. The performance comparison of predictive models such as BP neural network, generalized regression neural network, wavelet neural network, and squeeze-and-excitation network prove that the new method is effective and provides an effective method for scientifically predicting the requirement for maintenance spare parts and improving the quality of equipment maintenance.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.15) ◽  
pp. 25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said Jadid Abdulkadir ◽  
Hitham Alhussian ◽  
Muhammad Nazmi ◽  
Asim A Elsheikh

Forecasting time-series data are imperative especially when planning is required through modelling using uncertain knowledge of future events. Recurrent neural network models have been applied in the industry and outperform standard artificial neural networks in forecasting, but fail in long term time-series forecasting due to the vanishing gradient problem. This study offers a robust solution that can be implemented for long-term forecasting using a special architecture of recurrent neural network known as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model to overcome the vanishing gradient problem. LSTM is specially designed to avoid the long-term dependency problem as their default behavior. Empirical analysis is performed using quantitative forecasting metrics and comparative model performance on the forecasted outputs. An evaluation analysis is performed to validate that the LSTM model provides better forecasted outputs on Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500) in terms of error metrics as compared to other forecasting models.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 870-878
Author(s):  
Zainuddin Z. ◽  
P. Akhir E. A. ◽  
Hasan M. H.

Time series data often involves big size environment that lead to high dimensionality problem. Many industries are generating time series data that continuously update each second. The arising of machine learning may help in managing the data. It can forecast future instance while handling large data issues. Forecasting is related to predicting task of an upcoming event to avoid any circumstances happen in current environment. It helps those sectors such as production to foresee the state of machine in line with saving the cost from sudden breakdown as unplanned machine failure can disrupt the operation and loss up to millions. Thus, this paper offers a deep learning algorithm named recurrent neural network-gated recurrent unit (RNN-GRU) to forecast the state of machines producing the time series data in an oil and gas sector. RNN-GRU is an affiliation of recurrent neural network (RNN) that can control consecutive data due to the existence of update and reset gates. The gates decided on the necessary information to be kept in the memory. RNN-GRU is a simpler structure of long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM) with 87% of accuracy on prediction.


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