Dynamic grey model for forecasting silicon content in blast furnace hot metal

Author(s):  
Xueyi Liu ◽  
Wenhui Wang
1996 ◽  
Vol 67 (12) ◽  
pp. 521-527 ◽  
Author(s):  
Himanshu Singh ◽  
Nallamali Venkata Sridhar ◽  
Brahma Deo

Fractals ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 1550036 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHIHUA LUO ◽  
FAN GUO ◽  
DEJIAN LAI ◽  
FANG YAN ◽  
FEILAI TANG

Hurst exponent is an important measure of nonlinearity of dynamical time series. In this paper, using rescaled-range ([Formula: see text]/[Formula: see text]) analysis, multi-fractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) methods, the multiscale Hurst exponent (MHE) and the multiscale generalized Hurst exponent (MGHE) of coarse-grained silicon content ([Si]) time series in blast furnace (BF) hot metal were calculated. First, we collected these [Si] time series from No. 1 BF of Nanchang Iron and Steel Co. and No. 10 BF of Xinyu Iron and Steel Co. in Jiangxi Province, China. Then, we analyzed and compared the estimated Hurst exponents and the generalized Hurst exponent of these observed time series with some simulated time series. Our results show that the observed time series from these BFs have negative correlation with the Hurst exponent less than 0.5, the generalized Hurst exponent [Formula: see text] is a nonlinear function of [Formula: see text], and such negative correlation and local various structure persist in their moving averages of the observed time series up to lag 5 or 10.


2021 ◽  
Vol 252 ◽  
pp. 02025
Author(s):  
Wang Gao-peng ◽  
Yan Zhen-yu ◽  
Zhai Hai-peng ◽  
Zheng Rui-ji

The stability of blast furnace temperature is an important condition to ensure the efficient production of hot metal. Accurate prediction of silicon content in hot metal is of great significance to the control of blast furnace temperature in iron and steel plants. At present, the accuracy of most silicon prediction models can only be guaranteed when the furnace condition is stable. However, due to many factors affecting the silicon content in hot metal of blast furnace, and there are large noises, large delays and large fluctuations in the data, the previous prediction results are of limited guiding significance to the actual production. In this paper, combined with the actual situation, the convolution neural network is used to extract the furnace condition characteristics, and then combined with the attention mechanism and the IndRNN model to get the prediction results, so that the prediction can better adapt to the fluctuating data set. The experimental results show that the prediction error of this model is lower than that of other models, which provides a new solution for the research of silicon content in hot metal of blast furnace.


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