Forecasting Stock Market Price Using Deep Neural Networks

Author(s):  
Nima Gozalpour ◽  
Mohammad Teshnehlab
Author(s):  
Salim Lahmiri

This paper compares the accuracy of three hybrid intelligent systems in forecasting ten international stock market indices; namely the CAC40, DAX, FTSE, Hang Seng, KOSPI, NASDAQ, NIKKEI, S&P500, Taiwan stock market price index, and the Canadian TSE. In particular, genetic algorithms (GA) are used to optimize the topology and parameters of the adaptive time delay neural networks (ATNN) and the time delay neural networks (TDNN). The third intelligent system is the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) that basically integrates fuzzy logic into the artificial neural network (ANN) to better model information and explain decision making process. Based on out-of-sample simulation results, it was found that contrary to the literature GA-TDNN significantly outperforms GA-ATDNN. In addition, ANFIS was found to be more effective in forecasting CAC40, FTSE, Hang Seng, NIKKEI, Taiwan, and TSE price level. In contrary, GA-TDNN and GA-ATDNN were found to be superior to ANFIS in predicting DAX, KOSPI, and NASDAQ future prices.


Author(s):  
Kalaivani Karuppiah ◽  
Umamaheswari N. ◽  
Venkatesh R.

The neural network is one of the best data mining techniques that have been used by researchers in different areas for the past 10 years. Analysis on Indian stock market prediction using deep learning models plays a very important role in today's economy. In this chapter, various deep learning architectures such as multilayer perceptron, recurrent neural networks, long short -term memory, and convolutional neural network help to predict the stock market prediction. There are two different stock market price companies, namely National Stock Exchange and New York Stock Exchange, are used for analyzing the day-wise closing price used for comparing different techniques such as neural network, multilayer perceptron, and so on. Both the NSE and NYSE share their common details, and they are compared with various existing models. When compared with the previous existing models, neural networks obtain higher accuracy, and their experimental result is shown in betterment compared with existing techniques.


2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (8) ◽  
pp. 96-117
Author(s):  
Dr. Nigama. K ◽  
Dr. R Alamelu ◽  
Dr. S. Selvabaskar ◽  
Dr. K.G. Prasanna Sivagami

Stock market facilitates the economic activities that contribute to a nation’s growth and prosperity. This is viewed as one of the lucrative avenues for financial investment. Although the stock market is a thrilling and potential opportunity to grow one’s money, it brings along with it certain challenges, because, there is no universal rule that suggests profitable investments.  Investors, corporate and advisors employ several techniques like fundamental and technical analysis, trend analysis and other analysis to suggest stocks that will give best yields but such tools are neither consistent nor foolproof in the prediction of stock prices. But human exertions to convert the tacit knowledge into explicit knowledge has never found any alternate. More, the uncertainties, more the efforts to know them with certainty.  Digital economy with its advanced technological tools aids the pursuit of not only understanding uncertainties but also predicting the future with maximum precision. The most prominent techniques in the technological realm includes the usage of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and Genetic Algorithms. This paper discusses the stock prices forecasting ability of Bombay stock exchange trend using genetically evolved neural networks, the input being the closing price of the previous five years and output being the price for the next day. Risk (Standard deviation), Average Return, variance and Market price are chosen as indicators of the performance. The objective of this study is to give an overview of the application of artificial neural network in predicting stock market.


2016 ◽  
pp. 1651-1667
Author(s):  
Salim Lahmiri

This paper compares the accuracy of three hybrid intelligent systems in forecasting ten international stock market indices; namely the CAC40, DAX, FTSE, Hang Seng, KOSPI, NASDAQ, NIKKEI, S&P500, Taiwan stock market price index, and the Canadian TSE. In particular, genetic algorithms (GA) are used to optimize the topology and parameters of the adaptive time delay neural networks (ATNN) and the time delay neural networks (TDNN). The third intelligent system is the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) that basically integrates fuzzy logic into the artificial neural network (ANN) to better model information and explain decision making process. Based on out-of-sample simulation results, it was found that contrary to the literature GA-TDNN significantly outperforms GA-ATDNN. In addition, ANFIS was found to be more effective in forecasting CAC40, FTSE, Hang Seng, NIKKEI, Taiwan, and TSE price level. In contrary, GA-TDNN and GA-ATDNN were found to be superior to ANFIS in predicting DAX, KOSPI, and NASDAQ future prices.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 24-28
Author(s):  
Rohit Kumar ◽  
Rohit Gajbhiye ◽  
Isha Nikhar ◽  
Dyotak Thengdi ◽  
Sofia Pillai

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