Threat Level Forecast for Ship's Oil Spill - Based on BP Neural Network Model

Author(s):  
Wenxue Cai ◽  
Yanwu Zheng ◽  
Yongqiang Shi ◽  
Huiling Zhong
2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 942-952
Author(s):  
Xicun ZHU ◽  
Zhuoyuan WANG ◽  
Lulu GAO ◽  
Gengxing ZHAO ◽  
Ling WANG

The objective of the paper is to explore the best phenophase for estimating the nitrogen contents of apple leaves, to establish the best estimation model of the hyperspectral data at different phenophases. It is to improve the apple trees precise fertilization and production management. The experiments were done in 20 orchards in the field, measured hyperspectral data and nitrogen contents of apple leaves at three phenophases in two years, which were shoot growth phenophase, spring shoots pause growth phenophase, autumn shoots pause growth phenophase. The study analyzed the nitrogen contents of apple leaves with its original spectral and first derivative, screened sensitive wavelengths of each phenophase. The hyperspectral parameters were built with the sensitive wavelengths. Multiple stepwise regressions, partial least squares and BP neural network model were adopted in the study. The results showed that 551 nm, 716 nm, 530 nm, 703 nm; 543 nm, 705 nm, 699 nm, 756 nm and 545 nm, 702 nm, 695 nm, 746 nm were sensitive wavelengths of three phenophases. R551+R716, R551*R716, FDR530+FDR703, FDR530*FDR703; R543+R705, R543*R705, FDR699+FDR756, FDR699*FDR756and R545+R702, R545*R702, FDR695+FDR746, FDR695*FDR746 were the best hyperspectral parameters of each phenophase. Of all the estimation models, the estimated effect of shoot growth phenophase was better than other two phenophases, so shoot growth phenophase was the best phenophase to estimate the nitrogen contents of apple leaves based on hyperspectral models. In the three models, the 4-3-1 BP neural network model of shoot growth phenophase was the best estimation model. The R2 of estimated value and measured value was 0.6307, RE% was 23.37, RMSE was 0.6274.


Author(s):  
Lijuan Huang ◽  
Guojie Xie ◽  
Wende Zhao ◽  
Yan Gu ◽  
Yi Huang

AbstractWith the rapid development of e-commerce, the backlog of distribution orders, insufficient logistics capacity and other issues are becoming more and more serious. It is very significant for e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises to clarify the demand of logistics. To meet this need, a forecasting indicator system of Guangdong logistics demand was constructed from the perspective of e-commerce. The GM (1, 1) model and Back Propagation (BP) neural network model were used to simulate and forecast the logistics demand of Guangdong province from 2000 to 2019. The results show that the Guangdong logistics demand forecasting indicator system has good applicability. Compared with the GM (1, 1) model, the BP neural network model has smaller prediction error and more stable prediction results. Based on the results of the study, it is the recommendation of the authors that e-commerce platforms and logistics enterprises should pay attention to the prediction of regional logistics demand, choose scientific forecasting methods, and encourage the implementation of new distribution modes.


2010 ◽  
Vol 34-35 ◽  
pp. 301-305
Author(s):  
Zhao Qian Zhu ◽  
Jue Yang ◽  
Xiao Ming Zhang ◽  
Xiao Lei Li

This paper studied misfire diagnosis of diesel engine based on short-time vibration characters. Misfire of diesel engine was simulated by the vibration monitoring test. Cylinder vibration signal and top center signal were collected under different states. The short-time vibration signal of each cylinder was intercepted according to the diesel combustion sequence, effective value was calculated, and BP Neural Network model built with this character was used to diagnose diesel misfire. The result shows that this method can locate the misfire cylinder effectively, and it is meaningful for guiding the detection and repair of vehicles.


2021 ◽  
Vol 336 ◽  
pp. 06011
Author(s):  
Haonan Dong ◽  
Ruili Jiao ◽  
Minsong Huang

In order to solve the problem that the shape of cloud particle images measured by airborne cloud imaging probe (CIP) cannot be automatically recognized, this paper proposes an automatic recognition method of cloud and precipitation particle shape based on BP neural network. This method mainly uses a set of geometric parameters which can better describe the shape characteristics of cloud precipitation particles. Based on the cloud precipitation particle images measured by CIP in the precipitation stratiform clouds in northern China, a particle shape data training set and a testing set were constructed to train and verify the effect of the selected BP neural network model. The selected BP neural network model can classify the cloud particle image into tiny, column, needle, dendrite, aggregate, graupel, sphere, hexagonal and irregular. Utilizing the field campaign data measured by CIP, the habit identified results by the improved Holroyd method and by the selected BP neural network model were compared, which shows that the accuracy of BP neural network method is better than that of improved Holroyd method.


2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 878-893 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xianming Chen ◽  
Tieliu Wang ◽  
Mingming Ding ◽  
Jing Wang ◽  
Jianqing Chen ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 4801
Author(s):  
Hanlin Chen ◽  
Fei Niu ◽  
Xing Su ◽  
Tao Geng ◽  
Zhimin Liu ◽  
...  

With the rapid development and gradual perfection of GNSS in recent years, improving the real-time service performance of GNSS has become a research hotspot. In GNSS single-point positioning, broadcast ephemeris is used to provide a space–time reference. However, the orbit parameters of broadcast ephemeris have meter-level errors, and no mathematical model can simulate the variation of this, which restricts the real-time positioning accuracy of GNSS. Based on this research background, this paper uses a BP (Back Propagation) neural network and a PSO (Particle Swarm Optimization)–BP neural network to model the variation in the orbit error of GPS and BDS broadcast ephemeris to improve the accuracy of broadcast ephemeris. The experimental results showed that the two neural network models in GPS can model the broadcast ephemeris orbit errors, and the results of the two models were roughly the same. The one-day and three-day improvement rates of RMS(3D) were 30–50%, but the PSO–BP neural network model was better able to model the trend of errors and effectively improve the broadcast ephemeris orbit accuracy. In BDS, both of the neural network models were able to model the broadcast ephemeris orbit errors; however, the PSO–BP neural network model results were better than those of the BP neural network. In the GEO satellite outcome of the PSO–BP neural network, the STD and RMS of the orbit error in three directions were reduced by 20–70%, with a 20–30% improvement over the BP neural network results. The IGSO satellite results showed that the PSO–BP neural network model output accuracy of the along- and radial-track directions experienced a 70–80% improvement in one and three days. The one- and three-day RMS(3D) of the MEO satellites showed that the PSO–BP neural network has a greater ability to resist gross errors than that of the BP neural network for modeling the changing trend of the broadcast ephemeris orbit errors. These results demonstrate that using neural networks to model the orbit error of broadcast ephemeris is of great significance to improving the orbit accuracy of broadcast ephemeris.


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